ROSA: 多模式交通中基于多智能体轨迹预测的环岛优化速度建议
ROSA: Roundabout Optimized Speed Advisory with Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction in Multimodal Traffic
AI总结:
提出ROSA系统,结合Transformer多智能体轨迹预测与协调速度引导,提升环岛多模式混合交通的效率与安全,预测精度优于前人工作。
摘要:
我们提出ROSA——环岛优化速度建议——一个结合多智能体轨迹预测与协调速度引导的系统,用于环岛处的多模式混合交通。使用基于Transformer的模型,ROSA联合预测环岛处车辆和弱势道路使用者(VRU)的未来轨迹。该模型针对单步预测训练并自回归部署,生成确定性输出,从而实现可操作的速度建议。结合运动动力学,模型在五秒预测范围内实现了高精度(ADE: 1.29m, FDE: 2.99m),超越了先前工作。添加路线意图进一步提升了性能(ADE: 1.10m, FDE: 2.36m),展示了网联车辆数据的价值。基于与VRU和环岛内车辆的预测冲突,ROSA为接近和进入环岛的车辆提供实时、主动的速度建议。尽管存在预测不确定性,ROSA显著提升了车辆效率和安全性,甚至从VRU视角对感知安全性也有积极影响。本工作的源代码可在以下网址获取:this http URL。
英文摘要:
We present ROSA -- Roundabout Optimized Speed Advisory -- a system that combines multi-agent trajectory prediction with coordinated speed guidance for multimodal, mixed traffic at roundabouts. Using a Transformer-based model, ROSA jointly predicts the future trajectories of vehicles and Vulnerable Road Users (VRUs) at roundabouts. Trained for single-step prediction and deployed autoregressively, it generates deterministic outputs, enabling actionable speed advisories. Incorporating motion dynamics, the model achieves high accuracy (ADE: 1.29m, FDE: 2.99m at a five-second prediction horizon), surpassing prior work. Adding route intention further improves performance (ADE: 1.10m, FDE: 2.36m), demonstrating the value of connected vehicle data. Based on predicted conflicts with VRUs and circulating vehicles, ROSA provides real-time, proactive speed advisories for approaching and entering the roundabout. Despite prediction uncertainty, ROSA significantly improves vehicle efficiency and safety, with positive effects even on perceived safety from a VRU perspective. The source code of this work is available under: github.com/urbanAIthi/ROSA.
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