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arXiv 2602.14200cs.LG

TS-Haystack:一种用于长上下文时间序列推理的多任务检索基准

TS-Haystack: A Multi-Task Retrieval Benchmark for Long-Context Time-Series Reasoning

Agentic Systems Lab, ETH Zurich(1 非常规系统实验室,苏黎世联邦理工学院);Stanford University(2 斯坦福大学);Traffic Engineering Group, Institute for Transport Planning and Systems, ETH Zurich(3 交通工程组,交通规划与系统研究所,苏黎世联邦理工学院);University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign(4 印第安纳大学厄巴纳-香槟分校);Google(5 谷歌);Centre for Digital Health Interventions, ETH Zurich(6 数字健康干预中心,苏黎世联邦理工学院);Centre for Digital Health Interventions, University of St. Gallen(7 数字健康干预中心,圣加尔登大学)
Nicolas Zumarraga, Thomas Kaar, Ning Wang, William Tennien, Alpay Hasanli, Max Rosenblattl, Fan Wu, Kevin Riehl, Maxwell A. Xu, Markus Kreft, Kevin O'Sullivan, … 展开作者

Nicolas Zumarraga, Thomas Kaar, Ning Wang, William Tennien, Alpay Hasanli, Max Rosenblattl, Fan Wu, Kevin Riehl, Maxwell A. Xu, Markus Kreft, Kevin O'Sullivan, Elgar Fleisch, Paul Schmiedmayer, Robert Jakob, Patrick Langer

AI总结:

本文提出TS-Haystack基准,评估长上下文时间序列推理能力,发现现有TSLMs存在长上下文退化问题,代理检索框架在9/10任务中表现优异。

摘要:

时间序列语言模型(TSLMs)承诺对现实世界时间数据进行推理,但其在长时间序列中的检索和推理能力仍缺乏测试。我们引入TS-Haystack,一个包含10个基于事件的问题回答任务的多领域检索基准,涵盖从100秒到24小时的上下文,涉及直接检索、时间推理、多步推理和上下文异常检测。现有TSLMs表现出严重的长上下文退化:准确性随上下文长度下降,直接令牌化模型在高频率信号上内存不足,时间区间任务在增加时间序列长度时接近零准确性。使用专门的时间序列分类器工具的代理检索框架在9/10任务中匹配或优于现有最佳TSLMs,凸显代理检索作为长上下文TSLMs的有前途方法。

英文摘要:

Time Series Language Models (TSLMs) promise reasoning over real-world temporal data, but their ability to retrieve and reason over long time-series remains largely untested. We introduce TS-Haystack, a multi-domain retrieval benchmark with ten event-grounded question-answering tasks over contexts from 100 seconds to 24 hours, spanning direct retrieval, temporal reasoning, multi-step reasoning, and contextual anomaly detection. Existing TSLMs exhibit severe long-context degradation: accuracy declines with context length, direct-tokenization models run out of memory beyond 100 seconds on high-rate signals, and time-interval-grounded tasks collapse toward near-zero accuracy when increasing the time-series lengths, aligning with existing literature on text and multi-modal long context retrieval. An agentic retrieval framework using specialized time-series classifier tools matches or outperforms SoTA TSLMs on 9 of 10 tasks, highlighting agentic retrieval as a promising approach for long-context TSLMs.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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