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arXiv 2601.15703cs.AIcs.CL

代理不确定性量化

Agentic Uncertainty Quantification

Salesforce AI Research(Salesforce人工智能研究)

Jiaxin Zhang, Prafulla Kumar Choubey, Kung-Hsiang Huang, Caiming Xiong, Chien-Sheng Wu

AI总结:

本文提出双过程代理UQ框架,通过不确定性感知记忆与反思机制,实现主动双向控制信号,提升代理在长周期推理中的可靠性和性能。

摘要:

尽管AI代理在长周期推理中展现了令人印象深刻的能力,但其可靠性严重受到

英文摘要:

Although AI agents have demonstrated impressive capabilities in long-horizon reasoning, their reliability is severely hampered by the ``Spiral of Hallucination,'' where early epistemic errors propagate irreversibly. Existing methods face a dilemma: uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods typically act as passive sensors, only diagnosing risks without addressing them, while self-reflection mechanisms suffer from continuous or aimless corrections. To bridge this gap, we propose a unified Dual-Process Agentic UQ (AUQ) framework that transforms verbalized uncertainty into active, bi-directional control signals. Our architecture comprises two complementary mechanisms: System 1 (Uncertainty-Aware Memory, UAM), which implicitly propagates verbalized confidence and semantic explanations to prevent blind decision-making; and System 2 (Uncertainty-Aware Reflection, UAR), which utilizes these explanations as rational cues to trigger targeted inference-time resolution only when necessary. This enables the agent to balance efficient execution and deep deliberation dynamically. Extensive experiments on closed-loop benchmarks and open-ended deep research tasks demonstrate that our training-free approach achieves superior performance and trajectory-level calibration. We believe this principled framework AUQ represents a significant step towards reliable agents.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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