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生成式人工智能作为预测2D和3D野火蔓延的支柱:超越基于物理的模型和传统深度学习

Generative AI as a Pillar for Predicting 2D and 3D Wildfire Spread: Beyond Physics-Based Models and Traditional Deep Learning

GRID, School of Built Environment, UNSW Sydney, NSW 2052 Australia(GRID,环境建筑学院,新南威尔士大学悉尼分校);School of Minerals and Energy Resources Engineering, UNSW Sydney, NSW 2052 Australia(矿物与能源资源工程学院,新南威尔士大学悉尼分校)

Haowen Xu, Sisi Zlatanova, Ruiyu Liang, Ismet Canbulat

AI总结:

本文提出利用生成式AI(如GANs、VAEs、Transformers)作为预测2D和3D野火蔓延的新范式,通过LLM综述现有研究,并指出五个未来方向,以支持多模态、数据驱动的野火响应。

摘要:

野火日益威胁人类生命、生态系统和基础设施,2025年洛杉矶县的帕利塞兹和伊顿火灾等事件凸显了对更先进预测框架的迫切需求。现有的基于物理的模型和深度学习模型难以捕捉2D和3D领域内野火的动态蔓延,尤其是在整合实时、多模态地理空间数据时。本文探讨了生成式人工智能(AI)模型——如生成对抗网络(GANs)、变分自编码器(VAEs)和Transformer——如何作为野火预测与仿真的变革性工具。这些模型在管理不确定性、整合多模态输入以及生成逼真、可扩展的野火场景方面展现出卓越能力。我们提出了一种新范式,利用大语言模型(LLMs)进行文献综合、分类和知识提取,并对近期将生成式AI应用于火灾预测与监测的研究进行了系统性综述。我们强调了生成式方法如何独特地应对传统仿真和深度学习方法所面临的挑战。最后,我们概述了生成式AI在野火管理中的五个关键未来方向,包括2D和3D动态的统一多模态建模、用于决策智能的智能体AI系统和聊天机器人、以及移动设备上的实时场景生成,并讨论了关键挑战。我们的研究结果倡导向多模态生成框架的范式转变,以支持主动、数据驱动的野火响应。

英文摘要:

Wildfires increasingly threaten human life, ecosystems, and infrastructure, with events like the 2025 Palisades and Eaton fires in Los Angeles County underscoring the urgent need for more advanced prediction frameworks. Existing physics-based and deep learning models struggle to capture dynamic wildfire spread across both 2D and 3D domains, especially when incorporating real-time, multimodal geospatial data. This paper explores how generative Artificial Intelligence (AI) models-such as GANs, VAEs, and Transformers-can serve as transformative tools for wildfire prediction and simulation. These models offer superior capabilities in managing uncertainty, integrating multimodal inputs, and generating realistic, scalable wildfire scenarios. We introduce a new paradigm that leverages large language models (LLMs) for literature synthesis, classification, and knowledge extraction, conducting a systematic review of recent studies applying generative AI to fire prediction and monitoring. We highlight how generative approaches uniquely address challenges faced by traditional simulation and deep learning methods. Finally, we outline five key future directions for generative AI in wildfire management, including unified multimodal modeling of 2D and 3D dynamics, agentic AI systems and chatbots for decision intelligence, and real-time scenario generation on mobile devices, along with a discussion of critical challenges. Our findings advocate for a paradigm shift toward multimodal generative frameworks to support proactive, data-informed wildfire response.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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