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arXiv 2504.04295cs.CLcs.CE

基于LLM驱动情绪与新闻分析的衍生品市场动态对冲策略

Dynamic Hedging Strategies in Derivatives Markets with LLM-Driven Sentiment and News Analytics

The Chinese University of Hong Kong(香港中文大学);Columbia University(哥伦比亚大学);University of Utah(犹他大学);University of California San Diego(加州大学圣迭戈分校)

Jie Yang, Yiqiu Tang, Yongjie Li, Lihua Zhang, Haoran Zhang

AI总结:

本文提出利用大语言模型进行情绪与新闻分析,以实时调整衍生品对冲策略,并通过回测证明其风险调整后收益优于传统静态方法。

摘要:

动态对冲策略对于衍生品市场的有效风险管理至关重要,因为波动性和市场情绪会极大地影响业绩表现。本文提出了一个新颖的框架,利用大语言模型(LLMs)进行情绪分析和新闻分析,为对冲决策提供信息支持。通过分析来自新闻文章、社交媒体和财务报告等多种来源的文本数据,我们的方法捕捉了反映当前市场状况的关键情绪指标。该框架允许对对冲策略进行实时调整,根据持续的情绪信号调整头寸。基于历史衍生品数据的回测结果表明,与传统的静态方法相比,我们的动态对冲策略实现了更优的风险调整后收益。将LLM驱动的情绪分析纳入对冲实践,代表了衍生品交易决策过程中的重大进步。本研究展示了基于情绪信息的动态对冲如何增强投资组合管理并有效降低相关风险。

英文摘要:

Dynamic hedging strategies are essential for effective risk management in derivatives markets, where volatility and market sentiment can greatly impact performance. This paper introduces a novel framework that leverages large language models (LLMs) for sentiment analysis and news analytics to inform hedging decisions. By analyzing textual data from diverse sources like news articles, social media, and financial reports, our approach captures critical sentiment indicators that reflect current market conditions. The framework allows for real-time adjustments to hedging strategies, adapting positions based on continuous sentiment signals. Backtesting results on historical derivatives data reveal that our dynamic hedging strategies achieve superior risk-adjusted returns compared to conventional static approaches. The incorporation of LLM-driven sentiment analysis into hedging practices presents a significant advancement in decision-making processes within derivatives trading. This research showcases how sentiment-informed dynamic hedging can enhance portfolio management and effectively mitigate associated risks.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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