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arXiv 2503.15160stat.MLmath.PRmath.STstat.TH

基于带聚类与子采样的集成核回归的非线性贝叶斯更新

Nonlinear Bayesian Update via Ensemble Kernel Regression with Clustering and Subsampling

Yoonsang Lee

AI总结:

本研究提出基于集成核回归、结合子采样与聚类的非线性贝叶斯更新方法,拓展集成卡尔曼滤波至非高斯先验与非线性测量场景,实验验证其在强非线性下比标准线性更新的估计误差更低。

摘要:

本文提出一种面向先验集成的非线性贝叶斯更新方法,将传统集成卡尔曼滤波拓展至先验为非高斯、测量算子为非线性的场景。该框架中,首先通过标准卡尔曼更新对观测分量去噪,同时采用基于核密度估计的非线性回归方法估计未观测分量。方法引入子采样策略保证稳定性,必要时使用无监督聚类优化条件估计。在Lorenz系统与一类偏微分方程(PDE)约束反问题上的数值实验表明,所提非线性更新相比标准线性更新可降低估计误差,在强非线性场景下效果尤为显著。

英文摘要:

Nonlinear Bayesian update for a prior ensemble is proposed to extend traditional ensemble Kalman filtering to settings characterized by non-Gaussian priors and nonlinear measurement operators. In this framework, the observed component is first denoised via a standard Kalman update, while the unobserved component is estimated using a nonlinear regression approach based on kernel density estimation. The method incorporates a subsampling strategy to ensure stability and, when necessary, employs unsupervised clustering to refine the conditional estimate. Numerical experiments on Lorenz systems and a PDE-constrained inverse problem illustrate that the proposed nonlinear update can reduce estimation errors compared to standard linear updates, especially in highly nonlinear scenarios.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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