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混合交通中的异构决策:不确定性感知规划与有限理性

Heterogeneous Decision Making in Mixed Traffic: Uncertainty-aware Planning and Bounded Rationality

University of California, Davis(加利福尼亚大学戴维斯分校)

Hang Wang, Qiaoyi Fang, Junshan Zhang

AI总结:

本文研究混合交通中自动驾驶汽车与人类驾驶车辆的异构决策,提出结合有限理性模型与不确定性感知规划的交互框架,并通过遗憾分析揭示学习性能与决策策略的相互影响。

摘要:

过去几年见证了自动驾驶汽车(AV)部署的快速增长。显然,自动驾驶汽车和人类驾驶车辆(HV)将共存多年,自动驾驶汽车将不得不在人类驾驶车辆、行人、自行车骑行者等周围运行,这要求为混合交通设计的AI取得根本性突破,以实现混合自主。基于此动机,我们研究混合交通环境中自动驾驶汽车和人类驾驶车辆的异构决策,旨在捕捉人类与机器决策之间的交互,并开发一个使车辆能够安全高效运行的AI基础。实现混合自主存在若干挑战,包括:1)人类驾驶员以有限理性做出驾驶决策,开发准确的人类驾驶车辆决策模型仍然是一个开放问题;2)不确定性感知规划对于自动驾驶汽车响应人类行为采取安全操作至关重要。在本文中,我们引入了一种自动驾驶汽车与人类驾驶车辆交互的公式化描述,其中人类驾驶车辆以有限理性做出决策,而自动驾驶汽车基于对人类驾驶车辆未来动作的预测采用不确定性感知规划。我们对自动驾驶汽车和人类驾驶车辆的学习遗憾进行了全面分析,以回答以下问题:1)学习性能如何依赖于人类驾驶车辆的有限理性和自动驾驶汽车的规划;2)不同的决策策略如何影响整体学习性能?我们的发现揭示了一些有趣的现象,例如自动驾驶汽车学习性能中的古德哈特定律和人类驾驶车辆决策过程中的复合效应。通过检查遗憾的动态变化,我们深入了解了人类与机器决策之间的相互作用。

英文摘要:

The past few years have witnessed a rapid growth of the deployment of automated vehicles (AVs). Clearly, AVs and human-driven vehicles (HVs) will co-exist for many years, and AVs will have to operate around HVs, pedestrians, cyclists, and more, calling for fundamental breakthroughs in AI designed for mixed traffic to achieve mixed autonomy. Thus motivated, we study heterogeneous decision making by AVs and HVs in a mixed traffic environment, aiming to capture the interactions between human and machine decision-making and develop an AI foundation that enables vehicles to operate safely and efficiently. There are a number of challenges to achieve mixed autonomy, including 1) humans drivers make driving decisions with bounded rationality, and it remains open to develop accurate models for HVs' decision making; and 2) uncertainty-aware planning plays a critical role for AVs to take safety maneuvers in response to the human behavior. In this paper, we introduce a formulation of AV-HV interaction, where the HV makes decisions with bounded rationality and the AV employs uncertainty-aware planning based on the prediction on HV's future actions. We conduct a comprehensive analysis on AV and HV's learning regret to answer the questions: 1) {How does the learning performance depend on HV's bounded rationality and AV's planning}; 2) {How do different decision making strategies impact the overall learning performance}? Our findings reveal some intriguing phenomena, such as Goodhart's Law in AV's learning performance and compounding effects in HV's decision making process. By examining the dynamics of the regrets, we gain insights into the interplay between human and machine decision making.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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