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arXiv 2502.17023cs.LGstat.ML
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通过机器学习技术推进欧亚火灾理解

Advancing Eurasia Fire Understanding Through Machine Learning Techniques

Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(香港科技大学)

Boris Kriuk

AI总结:

本研究构建了俄罗斯连续13个月的开放野火与气象数据集,利用机器学习建模,揭示环境因子对火灾发生与蔓延的关键影响,推动欧亚火灾的数据驱动管理。

摘要:

现代火灾管理系统日益依赖卫星数据和天气预报;然而,由于专有限制,获取全面数据集的机会仍然有限。尽管野火具有生态重要性,大规模、多区域的研究因数据稀缺而受到制约。俄罗斯多样化的生态系统在塑造欧亚火灾动态中发挥着关键作用,但至今仍未得到充分探索。本研究通过引入一个开放获取的数据集来填补现有空白,该数据集记录了详细的火灾事件及相应的气象条件。我们提供了俄罗斯野火分析中可用的最广泛数据集之一,涵盖连续13个月的观测数据。利用机器学习技术,我们进行了探索性数据分析,并开发了预测模型,以识别不同火灾类别和生态系统中关键的火灾行为模式。我们的结果凸显了环境因素模式对火灾发生和蔓延行为的重大影响。通过增进对欧亚野火动态的理解,这项工作有助于在环境条件不断演变的情况下,采用更有效、数据驱动的方法进行主动火灾管理。

英文摘要:

Modern fire management systems increasingly rely on satellite data and weather forecasting; however, access to comprehensive datasets remains limited due to proprietary restrictions. Despite the ecological significance of wildfires, large-scale, multi-regional research is constrained by data scarcity. Russian diverse ecosystems play a crucial role in shaping Eurasian fire dynamics, yet they remain underexplored. This study addresses existing gaps by introducing an open-access dataset that captures detailed fire incidents alongside corresponding meteorological conditions. We present one of the most extensive datasets available for wildfire analysis in Russia, covering 13 consecutive months of observations. Leveraging machine learning techniques, we conduct exploratory data analysis and develop predictive models to identify key fire behavior patterns across different fire categories and ecosystems. Our results highlight the critical influence of environmental factor patterns on fire occurrence and spread behavior. By improving the understanding of wildfire dynamics in Eurasia, this work contributes to more effective, data-driven approaches for proactive fire management in the face of evolving environmental conditions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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