arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv周末暂无论文更新,休息一下吧,周末愉快~~
arXiv 2502.02499cs.LG
收藏

学习生成物理海洋状态:迈向混合气候建模

Learning to generate physical ocean states: Towards hybrid climate modeling

Inria Paris(法国国家信息与自动化研究所巴黎分部);Sorbonne Universités(索邦大学联合体);CNRS(法国国家科学研究中心);IRD(法国发展研究院);MNHN(法国国家自然历史博物馆);Institut Pierre-Simon Laplace(皮埃尔·西蒙·拉普拉斯研究所)

Etienne Meunier, David Kamm, Guillaume Gachon, Redouane Lguensat, Julie Deshayes

AI总结:

本文提出用深度生成模型生成物理一致的海洋状态作为气候模式初始条件,结合深度学习效率与数值模式精度,以降低气候模式达到平衡态的计算成本并减少预估不确定性。

摘要:

海洋环流模式需要大量计算资源才能达到平衡态,而深度学习仿真器虽然能提供快速预测,却缺乏气候科学家理解气候敏感性(对温室气体排放的响应)和突变变率机制(如临界点)所需的物理可解释性与长期稳定性。我们提出结合两者优势,利用深度生成模型生成物理一致的海洋状态,作为气候预估的初始条件。我们通过物理指标和数值实验评估这种混合方法的可行性,并强调在生成过程中施加物理约束的益处。尽管本文仅在理想化数值模拟的海洋变量上进行训练,我们认为这种混合方法将深度学习的计算效率与数值模式的物理精度相结合,能够有效降低将气候模式运行至平衡态的计算负担,并通过最小化基线模拟中的漂移来减少气候预估的不确定性。

英文摘要:

Ocean General Circulation Models require extensive computational resources to reach equilibrium states, while deep learning emulators, despite offering fast predictions, lack the physical interpretability and long-term stability necessary for climate scientists to understand climate sensitivity (to greenhouse gas emissions) and mechanisms of abrupt % variability such as tipping points. We propose to take the best from both worlds by leveraging deep generative models to produce physically consistent oceanic states that can serve as initial conditions for climate projections. We assess the viability of this hybrid approach through both physical metrics and numerical experiments, and highlight the benefits of enforcing physical constraints during generation. Although we train here on ocean variables from idealized numerical simulations, we claim that this hybrid approach, combining the computational efficiency of deep learning with the physical accuracy of numerical models, can effectively reduce the computational burden of running climate models to equilibrium, and reduce uncertainties in climate projections by minimizing drifts in baseline simulations.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑