研究水循环中降雨-径流过程的传统方法依赖于概念性或基于物理的水文模型。深度学习(DL)近期作为一种替代方案出现,并在水文界的降雨-径流模拟中蓬勃发展。然而,数十年历史的Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)网络仍然是该任务的基准,表现优于Transformers等较新架构。在本研究中,我们提出了一种State Space Model(SSM),具体为Frequency Tuned Diagonal State Space Sequence(S4D-FT)模型,用于降雨-径流模拟。所提出的S4D-FT在美国本土(CONUS)的531个流域中,与成熟的LSTM以及基于物理的Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting模型进行了基准对比。结果表明,S4D-FT能够在不同地区超越LSTM模型。我们开创性地将S4D-FT引入降雨-径流模拟,挑战了LSTM在水文界的主导地位,并扩展了可用于水文建模的DL工具库。
英文摘要:
The classical way of studying the rainfall-runoff processes in the water cycle relies on conceptual or physically-based hydrologic models. Deep learning (DL) has recently emerged as an alternative and blossomed in hydrology community for rainfall-runoff simulations. However, the decades-old Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network remains the benchmark for this task, outperforming newer architectures like Transformers. In this work, we propose a State Space Model (SSM), specifically the Frequency Tuned Diagonal State Space Sequence (S4D-FT) model, for rainfall-runoff simulations. The proposed S4D-FT is benchmarked against the established LSTM and a physically-based Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting model across 531 watersheds in the contiguous United States (CONUS). Results show that S4D-FT is able to outperform the LSTM model across diverse regions. Our pioneering introduction of the S4D-FT for rainfall-runoff simulations challenges the dominance of LSTM in the hydrology community and expands the arsenal of DL tools available for hydrological modeling.
QDeepGR4J: Quantile-based ensemble of deep learning and GR4J hybrid rainfall-runoff models for extreme flow prediction with uncertainty quantification
School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW 2052, Australia(数学与统计学学院,新南威尔士大学,悉尼,新南威尔士州,2052,澳大利亚);Data Analytics for Resources and Environments, Australian Research Council—Industrial Transformation Training Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia(资源与环境数据分析,澳大利亚研究理事会—工业转型培训中心,悉尼,新南威尔士州,澳大利亚)
Use of 1D-CNN for input data size reduction of LSTM in Hourly Rainfall-Runoff modeling
International Research Organization for Advanced Science and Technology, Kumamoto University(熊本大学先进科学技术国际研究机构);Center for Water Cycle, Marine Environment, and Disaster Management, Kumamoto University(熊本大学水循环、海洋环境与灾害管理研究中心);Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California, Davis(加州大学戴维斯分校土木与环境工程系);Graduated School of Science and Technology, Kumamoto University(熊本大学科学与技术研究生院);Faculty of Advanced Science and Technology, Kumamoto University(熊本大学先进科学技术学部)
A Gated Catchment Hydrology Model (GCHM) for Physically-Interpretable Rainfall-Evapotranspiration-Runoff Simulation Across Diverse Hydroclimatic Regimes
TRU-NET: A Deep Learning Approach to High Resolution Prediction of Rainfall
University of Warwick(华威大学);Southern University of Science and Technology(南方科技大学);The European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(欧洲中期天气预报中心);University of Bristol(布里斯托大学)
Leveraging Exogenous Signals for Hydrology Time Series Forecasting
College of Computing(计算学院);Georgia Institute of Technology(佐治亚理工学院);University of Virginia(弗吉尼亚大学);School of Data Science(数据科学学院);Computer Science(计算机科学);Biocomplexity Institute(生物复杂性研究所)
HydroNets: Leveraging River Structure for Hydrologic Modeling
Google Research(谷歌研究院);The Hebrew University of Jerusalem(耶路撒冷希伯来大学);Johannes Kepler University Linz(林茨约翰内斯·开普勒大学);Technion - Israel Institute of Technology(以色列理工学院)
Fusion of rain radar images and wind forecasts in a deep learning model applied to rain nowcasting
CNRS(法国国家科学研究中心);Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center(南森环境与遥感中心);Laboratoire d’océanographie et du climat(海洋学与气候实验室);École nationale supérieure d'informatique pour l'industrie et l'entreprise(国立工业与企业计算机科学高等学院)
Deep learning for improved global precipitation in numerical weather prediction systems
Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology(印度热带气象研究所);University of Texas at Austin(德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校);Indian Institute of Technology Bombay(孟买印度理工学院);Queen Mary University of London(伦敦玛丽女王大学)
Opportunistic Emulation of Computationally Expensive Simulations via Deep Learning
Data61 / CSIRO(联邦科学与工业研究组织 Data61);Griffith University(格里菲斯大学);Department of Resources, Queensland Government(昆士兰州政府资源部);Department of Environment and Science, Queensland Government(昆士兰州政府环境与科学部)
Agricultural Recommendation System based on Deep Learning: A Multivariate Weather Forecasting Approach
Chittagong University of Engineering & Technology(吉大港工程技术大学);Khulna University of Engineering & Technology(库尔纳工程技术大学);University of Illinois at Chicago(芝加哥大学伊利诺伊分校);Khulna Agricultural University(库尔纳农业大学);Edith Cowan University(伊迪丝·考恩大学)
Do Echo Top Heights Improve Deep Learning Nowcasts?
Kempelen Institute of Intelligent Technologies(智能技术研究所);Faculty of information Technology(信息技术学院);Brno University of Technology(布拉格技术大学);Department of Geoscience and Remote Sensing(地质与遥感系);Delft University of Technology(代尔夫特技术大学)
Deep Learning Foundation and Pattern Models: Challenges in Hydrological Time Series
Computer Science(计算机科学);University of Virginia(弗吉尼亚大学);College of Computing(计算学院);Georgia Institute of Technology(佐治亚理工学院);Biocomplexity Institute(生物复杂性研究所)
Data-driven Flood Emulation: Speeding up Urban Flood Predictions by Deep Convolutional Neural Networks
Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich (ETHZ)(苏黎世联邦理工学院);Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology (Eawag)(瑞士联邦水生科学技术研究所);University of Coimbra(科英布拉大学)