局部收敛动态随机图上的SIR模型
SIR on locally converging dynamic random graphs
AI总结:
本文研究固定规模动态局部收敛随机图上的SIR疫情传播,证明其可近似为均匀顶点局部邻域内的传播,且疫情传播收敛于动态局部极限图上的传播,明确了结果成立所需的特定动态局部收敛形式。
摘要:
本文研究了一类固定规模的动态随机图上经典SIR传染病的传播轨迹,这类图的边集随时间持续演化。我们设定了通用的感染时长和恢复时长,并从占比为正但规模较小的顶点群体启动疫情传播。研究表明,在此情形下,传染病在典型个体周围的传播可近似为疾病在均匀选取顶点的局部邻域内的传播。我们通过研究依概率动态局部收敛的通用动态随机图将该结论形式化,并证明这类图上的疫情传播会收敛至其动态局部极限图上的疫情传播。我们对动态局部收敛理论进行了详细阐释,该理论在随机图研究中仍是相对较新的课题。本文的一项核心结论是,我们的结果成立需要满足一种特定形式的动态局部收敛条件。
英文摘要:
In this paper, we study the trajectory of a classic SIR epidemic on a family of dynamic random graphs of fixed size, whose set of edges continuously evolves over time. We set general infection and recovery times, and start the epidemic from a positive, yet small, proportion of vertices. We show that in such a case, the spread of an infectious disease around a typical individual can be approximated by the spread of the disease in a local neighbourhood of a uniformly chosen vertex. We formalize this by studying general dynamic random graphs that converge dynamically locally in probability and demonstrate that the epidemic on these graphs converges to the epidemic on their dynamic local limit graphs. We provide a detailed treatment of the theory of dynamic local convergence, which remains a relatively new topic in the study of random graphs. One main conclusion of our paper is that a specific form of dynamic local convergence is required for our results to hold.
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