印度住宅空间制冷转型：千年之交以来的脱碳目标
India's residential space cooling transition: Decarbonization ambitions since the turn of millennium
AI总结：
本研究首次对2000-2022年印度城乡住宅空间制冷碳排放进行邦级分析，发现碳强度增长292.4%，风扇是主要排放源，并识别出高脱碳潜力邦，为印度2070年净零目标下的制冷行动计划提供依据。
摘要：
作为新兴排放国，印度在空间制冷需求方面有望显著增长，因此需要全面了解历史排放趋势和脱碳绩效，以制定未来的低碳制冷战略。通过整合自下而上的需求资源能源分析模型和自上而下的分解方法，本研究首次对2000年至2022年印度城市和农村住宅空间制冷的碳排放趋势及相应的脱碳努力进行了邦级分析。结果表明：（1）2000年至2022年，印度住宅空间制冷的碳强度增加了292.4%，达到每户513.8千克二氧化碳。人均邦内净产值（代表收入）成为主要的正向贡献因素。（2）空间制冷碳排放的增加主要归因于风扇的使用。虽然基于风扇的空间制冷在印度城市家庭中已接近饱和，但预计在未来几十年内，它仍将是农村家庭的主要制冷方式。（3）脱碳潜力较高的邦集中在两类：一类是家庭收入高且制冷设备拥有量大的邦，另一类是制冷需求未得到满足但家庭收入低且气候炎热的邦。此外，研究认为，可以优先推广节能建筑设计，以实现可负担的空间制冷。总体而言，本研究为制定和推进印度未来的制冷行动计划奠定了有效基础，以应对该国日益增长的住宅制冷需求，并努力实现2070年净零排放目标。
英文摘要：
As an emerging emitter poised for significant growth in space cooling demand, India requires comprehensive insights into historical emission trends and decarbonization performance to shape future low-carbon cooling strategies. By integrating a bottom-up demand resource energy analysis model and a top-down decomposition method, this study is the first to conduct a state-level analysis of carbon emission trends and the corresponding decarbonization efforts for residential space cooling in urban and rural India from 2000 to 2022. The results indicate that (1) the carbon intensity of residential space cooling in India increased by 292.4% from 2000 to 2022, reaching 513.8 kilograms of carbon dioxide per household. The net state domestic product per capita, representing income, emerged as the primary positive contributor. (2) The increase in carbon emissions from space cooling can be primarily attributed to the use of fans. While fan-based space cooling has nearly saturated Indian urban households, it is anticipated to persist as the primary cooling method in rural households for decades. (3) States with higher decarbonization potential are concentrated in two categories: those with high household income and substantial cooling appliance ownership and those with pronounced unmet cooling demand but low household income and hot climates. Furthermore, it is believed that promoting energy-efficient building designs can be prioritized to achieve affordable space cooling. Overall, this study serves as an effective foundation for formulating and promoting India's future cooling action plan, addressing the country's rising residential cooling demands and striving toward its net-zero goal by 2070.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
