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arXiv 2411.15519q-fin.RMcs.LGstat.ML

基于特征增强生成对抗网络(FE-GAN)的风险管理

Risk Management with Feature-Enriched Generative Adversarial Networks (FE-GAN)

University College London(伦敦大学学院)

Ling Chen

AI总结:

本文研究FE-GAN在金融风险管理中的应用,通过纳入前期数据衍生的额外输入序列增强GAN架构,评估WGAN和Tail-GAN,结果显示其显著提升VaR和ES估计性能,Tail-GAN在ES估计中更优。

摘要:

本文研究了特征增强生成对抗网络(FE-GAN)在金融风险管理中的应用,重点是改进风险价值(VaR)和预期损失(ES)的估计。FE-GAN通过纳入一个由前期数据衍生的额外输入序列来增强现有GAN架构,以提升模型性能。在FE-GAN框架下评估了两个专用GAN模型:瓦瑟斯坦生成对抗网络(WGAN)和尾部生成对抗网络(Tail-GAN)。结果表明,FE-GAN在VaR和ES估计方面显著优于传统架构。Tail-GAN凭借其特定任务损失函数,在ES估计中持续优于WGAN,而两者在VaR估计中表现相似。尽管结果良好,研究仍承认局限性,包括依赖高度相关的时间数据及在其他领域的适用性受限。未来研究方向包括探索替代输入生成方法、动态预测模型和先进神经网络架构,以进一步增强基于GAN的金融风险估计。

英文摘要:

This paper investigates the application of Feature-Enriched Generative Adversarial Networks (FE-GAN) in financial risk management, with a focus on improving the estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES). FE-GAN enhances existing GANs architectures by incorporating an additional input sequence derived from preceding data to improve model performance. Two specialized GANs models, the Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network (WGAN) and the Tail Generative Adversarial Network (Tail-GAN), were evaluated under the FE-GAN framework. The results demonstrate that FE-GAN significantly outperforms traditional architectures in both VaR and ES estimation. Tail-GAN, leveraging its task-specific loss function, consistently outperforms WGAN in ES estimation, while both models exhibit similar performance in VaR estimation. Despite these promising results, the study acknowledges limitations, including reliance on highly correlated temporal data and restricted applicability to other domains. Future research directions include exploring alternative input generation methods, dynamic forecasting models, and advanced neural network architectures to further enhance GANs-based financial risk estimation.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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