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arXiv 2410.08522cs.LG
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评估数据稀疏性对链路级自行车流量估计的影响:一种图卷积神经网络方法

Evaluating the effects of Data Sparsity on the Link-level Bicycling Volume Estimation: A Graph Convolutional Neural Network Approach

School of Public Health and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia(公共卫生与预防医学学院,墨尔本大学);School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Research Centre for Integrated Transport Innovation (rCITI)(土木与环境工程学院,综合交通创新研究中心);School of Information and Communication Technology, Griffith University, Brisbane, Australia(信息与通信技术学院,格里菲斯大学)

Mohit Gupta, Debjit Bhowmick, Meead Saberi, Shirui Pan, Ben Beck

AI总结:

本文提出利用图卷积网络建模链路级自行车流量,研究数据稀疏性对模型性能的影响,证明GCN在预测自行车流量方面的优势,并指出高稀疏条件下模型性能下降的问题。

摘要:

准确的自行车流量估计对于做出明智决策和规划未来自行车基础设施的投资至关重要。然而,传统的链路级流量估计模型在处理机动车交通时效果良好,但应用于自行车情境时面临重大挑战,因为数据稀疏且自行车移动模式复杂。到目前为止,我们提出了第一项研究,利用图卷积网络(GCN)架构来建模链路级自行车流量,并系统地研究了不同数据稀疏程度(0%至99%)对模型性能的影响,模拟现实世界场景。我们利用Strava Metro数据作为主要的自行车计数来源,覆盖澳大利亚墨尔本市15,933个道路段/链路。为了评估GCN模型的有效性,我们将其与传统机器学习模型(如线性回归、支持向量机和随机森林)进行基准测试。我们的结果表明,GCN模型在预测年度平均日自行车流量(AADB)计数方面优于这些传统模型,证明了其能够捕捉自行车交通网络中固有的空间依赖性。尽管GCN在稀疏度高达80%时仍保持稳健,但超过此阈值后性能急剧下降,突显了极端数据稀疏性的挑战。这些发现强调了GCNs在提高自行车流量估计中的潜力,同时也强调了进一步研究以改进高稀疏条件下模型鲁棒性的必要性。我们的发现为旨在改进自行车基础设施和促进可持续交通的城市规划者提供了有价值的见解。

英文摘要:

Accurate bicycling volume estimation is crucial for making informed decisions and planning about future investments in bicycling infrastructure. However, traditional link-level volume estimation models are effective for motorized traffic but face significant challenges when applied to the bicycling context because of sparse data and the intricate nature of bicycling mobility patterns. To the best of our knowledge, we present the first study to utilize a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) architecture to model link-level bicycling volumes and systematically investigate the impact of varying levels of data sparsity (0%--99%) on model performance, simulating real-world scenarios. We have leveraged Strava Metro data as the primary source of bicycling counts across 15,933 road segments/links in the City of Melbourne, Australia. To evaluate the effectiveness of the GCN model, we benchmark it against traditional machine learning models, such as linear regression, support vector machines, and random forest. Our results show that the GCN model outperforms these traditional models in predicting Annual Average Daily Bicycle (AADB) counts, demonstrating its ability to capture the spatial dependencies inherent in bicycle traffic networks. While GCN remains robust up to 80% sparsity, its performance declines sharply beyond this threshold, highlighting the challenges of extreme data sparsity. These findings underscore the potential of GCNs in enhancing bicycling volume estimation, while also emphasizing the need for further research on methods to improve model resilience under high-sparsity conditions. Our findings offer valuable insights for city planners aiming to improve bicycling infrastructure and promote sustainable transportation.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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