Missing data is a common issue in medical, psychiatry, and social studies. In literature, Multiple Imputation (MI) was proposed to multiply impute datasets and combine analysis results from imputed datasets for statistical inference using Rubin's rule. However, Rubin's rule only works for combined inference on statistical tests with point and variance estimates and is not applicable to combine general F-statistics or Chi-square statistics. In this manuscript, we provide a solution to combine F-test statistics from multiply imputed datasets, when the F-statistic has an explicit fractional form (that is, both the numerator and denominator of the F-statistic are reported). Then we extend the method to combine Chi-square statistics from multiply imputed datasets. Furthermore, we develop methods for two commonly applied F-tests, Welch's ANOVA and Type-III tests of fixed effects in mixed effects models, which do not have the explicit fractional form. SAS macros are also developed to facilitate applications.
Imputation is a popular technique for handling missing data. We consider a nonparametric approach to imputation using the kernel ridge regression technique and propose consistent variance estimation. The proposed variance estimator is based on a linearization approach which employs the entropy method to estimate the density ratio. The root-n consistency of the imputation estimator is established when a Sobolev space is utilized in the kernel ridge regression imputation, which enables us to develop the proposed variance estimator. Synthetic data experiments are presented to confirm our theory.
Many imputation methods are based on statistical models that assume that the variable of interest is a noisy observation of a function of the auxiliary variables or covariates. Misspecification of this model may lead to severe errors in estimates and to misleading conclusions. A new imputation method for item nonresponse in surveys is proposed based on a nonparametric estimation of the functional dependence between the variable of interest and the auxiliary variables. We consider the use of smoothing spline estimation within an additive model framework to flexibly build an imputation model in …
Multiple imputation has become one of the most popular approaches for handling missing data in statistical analyses. Part of this success is due to Rubin's simple combination rules. These give frequentist valid inferences when the imputation and analysis procedures are so called congenial and the complete data analysis is valid, but otherwise may not. Roughly speaking, congeniality corresponds to whether the imputation and analysis models make different assumptions about the data. In practice imputation and analysis procedures are often not congenial, such that tests may not have the correct s…
Many modern estimators require bootstrapping to calculate confidence intervals because either no analytic standard error is available or the distribution of the parameter of interest is non-symmetric. It remains however unclear how to obtain valid bootstrap inference when dealing with multiple imputation to address missing data. We present four methods which are intuitively appealing, easy to implement, and combine bootstrap estimation with multiple imputation. We show that three of the four approaches yield valid inference, but that the performance of the methods varies with respect to the nu…
Missing data is a common problem in medical research, and is commonly addressed using multiple imputation. Although traditional imputation methods allow for valid statistical inference when data are missing at random (MAR), their implementation is problematic when the presence of missingness depends on unobserved variables, i.e. the data are missing not at random (MNAR). Unfortunately, this MNAR situation is rather common, in observational studies, registries and other sources of real-world data. While several imputation methods have been proposed for addressing individual studies when data ar…
The statistical matching problem is a data integration problem with structured missing data. The general form involves the analysis of multiple datasets that only have a strict subset of variables jointly observed across all datasets. The simplest version involves two datasets, labelled A and B, with three variables of interest $X, Y$ and $Z$. Variables $X$ and $Y$ are observed in dataset A and variables $X$ and $Z$ are observed in dataset $B$. Statistical inference is complicated by the absence of joint $(Y, Z)$ observations. Parametric modelling can be challenging due to identifiability issu…
When analyzing incomplete data, is it better to use multiple imputation (MI) or full information maximum likelihood (ML)? In large samples ML is clearly better, but in small samples ML's usefulness has been limited because ML commonly uses normal test statistics and confidence intervals that require large samples. We propose small-sample t-based ML confidence intervals that have good coverage and are shorter than t-based confidence intervals under MI. We also show that ML point estimates are less biased and more efficient than MI point estimates in small samples of bivariate normal data. With …
Personalized Imputation in metric spaces via conformal prediction: Applications in Predicting Diabetes Development with Continuous Glucose Monitoring Information
Missing data are present in most real world problems and need careful handling to preserve the prediction accuracy and statistical consistency in the downstream analysis. As the gold standard of handling missing data, multiple imputation (MI) methods are proposed to account for the imputation uncertainty and provide proper statistical inference. In this work, we propose Multiple Imputation via Generative Adversarial Network (MI-GAN), a deep learning-based (in specific, a GAN-based) multiple imputation method, that can work under missing at random (MAR) mechanism with theoretical support. MI-GA…
Missingness in categorical data is a common problem in various real applications. Traditional approaches either utilize only the complete observations or impute the missing data by some ad hoc methods rather than the true conditional distribution of the missing data, thus losing or distorting the rich information in the partial observations. In this paper, we propose the Dirichlet Process Mixture of Collapsed Product-Multinomials (DPMCPM) to model the full data jointly and compute the model efficiently. By fitting an infinite mixture of product-multinomial distributions, DPMCPM is applicable f…
Harvard University（哈佛大学）；The University of Tokyo（东京大学）；RIKEN Center for Brain Science（理化学研究所脑科学中心）；Iowa State University（爱荷华州立大学）
Several statistical models are given in the form of unnormalized densities, and calculation of the normalization constant is intractable. We propose estimation methods for such unnormalized models with missing data. The key concept is to combine imputation techniques with estimators for unnormalized models including noise contrastive estimation and score matching. In addition, we derive asymptotic distributions of the proposed estimators and construct confidence intervals. Simulation results with truncated Gaussian graphical models and the application to real data of wind direction reveal that…
It is argued that the Calibrated Bayesian (CB) approach to statistical inference capitalizes on the strength of Bayesian and frequentist approaches to statistical inference. In the CB approach, inferences under a particular model are Bayesian, but frequentist methods are useful for model development and model checking. In this article the CB approach is outlined. Bayesian methods for missing data are then reviewed from a CB perspective. The basic theory of the Bayesian approach, and the closely related technique of multiple imputation, is described. Then applications of the Bayesian approach t…
Imputation procedures in biomedical fields have turned into statistical practice, since further analyses can be conducted ignoring the former presence of missing values. In particular, non-parametric imputation schemes like the random forest or a combination with the stochastic gradient boosting have shown favorable imputation performance compared to the more traditionally used MICE procedure. However, their effect on valid statistical inference has not been analyzed so far. This paper closes this gap by investigating their validity for inferring mean differences in incompletely observed pairs…
Missing covariates in regression or classification problems can prohibit the direct use of advanced tools for further analysis. Recent research has realized an increasing trend towards the usage of modern Machine Learning algorithms for imputation. It originates from their capability of showing favourable prediction accuracy in different learning problems. In this work, we analyze through simulation the interaction between imputation accuracy and prediction accuracy in regression learning problems with missing covariates when Machine Learning based methods for both, imputation and prediction a…
Distributionally Faithful Imputation via Positive Semi-Definite Kernel Density Estimation
Inria - Ecole Normale Supériore Paris（法国巴黎国家信息与自动化研究所-巴黎高等师范学院）；Department of Computer Science - UCL（伦敦大学学院计算机科学系）；SDA Bocconi School of Management（博科尼管理学院）
Multivariate density estimation is a popular technique in statistics with wide applications including regression models allowing for heteroskedasticity in conditional variances. The estimation problems become more challenging when observations are missing in one or more variables of the multivariate vector. A flexible class of mixture of tensor products of kernel densities is proposed which allows for easy implementation of imputation methods using Gibbs sampling and shown to have superior performance compared to some of the exisiting imputation methods currently available in literature. Numer…
Multiple imputation (MI) inference handles missing data by imputing the missing values $m$ times, and then combining the results from the $m$ complete-data analyses. However, the existing method for combining likelihood ratio tests (LRTs) has multiple defects: (i) the combined test statistic can be negative, but its null distribution is approximated by an $F$-distribution; (ii) it is not invariant to re-parametrization; (iii) it fails to ensure monotonic power owing to its use of an inconsistent estimator of the fraction of missing information (FMI) under the alternative hypothesis; and (iv) i…
Statistical matching is a technique for integrating two or more data sets when information available for matching records for individual participants across data sets is incomplete. Statistical matching can be viewed as a missing data problem where a researcher wants to perform a joint analysis of variables that are never jointly observed. A conditional independence assumption is often used to create imputed data for statistical matching. We consider an alternative approach to statistical matching without using the conditional independence assumption. We apply parametric fractional imputation …
This paper presents a new methodology to solve problems resulting from missing data in large-scale item performance behavioral databases. Useful statistics corrected for missing data are described, and a new method of imputation for missing data is proposed. This methodology is applied to the DLP database recently published by Keuleers et al. (2010), which allows us to conclude that this database fulfills the conditions of use of the method recently proposed by Courrieu et al. (2011) to test item performance models. Two application programs in Matlab code are provided for the imputation of mis…
In-Context Learning for the Imputation of Public Opinion Data with Large Language Models
LMU Munich（慕尼黑大学）；Munich Center for Machine Learning（慕尼黑机器学习中心）；University of Mannheim（曼海姆大学）；Institute for Employment Research (IAB)（就业研究所（IAB））；University of Maryland, College Park（马里兰大学帕克分校）
Most datasets suffer from partial or complete missing values, which has downstream limitations on the available models on which to test the data and on any statistical inferences that can be made from the data. Several imputation techniques have been designed to replace missing data with stand in values. The various approaches have implications for calculating clinical scores, model building and model testing. The work showcased here offers a novel means for categorical imputation based on item response theory (IRT) and compares it against several methodologies currently used in the machine le…
We study high-dimensional regression with missing entries in the covariates. A common strategy in practice is to \emph{impute} the missing entries with an appropriate substitute and then implement a standard statistical procedure acting as if the covariates were fully observed. Recent literature on this subject proposes instead to design a specific, often complicated or non-convex, algorithm tailored to the case of missing covariates. We investigate a simpler approach where we fill-in the missing entries with their conditional mean given the observed covariates. We show that this imputation sc…
Multiple data sources are becoming increasingly available for statistical analyses in the era of big data. As an important example in finite-population inference, we consider an imputation approach to combining a probability sample with big observational data. Unlike the usual imputation for missing data analysis, we create imputed values for the whole elements in the probability sample. Such mass imputation is attractive in the context of survey data integration (Kim and Rao, 2012). We extend mass imputation as a tool for data integration of survey data and big non-survey data. The mass imput…
Objective: Researchers often use model-based multiple imputation to handle missing at random data to minimize bias while making the best use of all available data. However, there are sometimes constraints within the data that make model-based imputation difficult and may result in implausible values. In these contexts, we describe how to use random hot deck imputation to allow for plausible multiple imputation in longitudinal studies. Study Design and Setting: We illustrate random hot deck multiple imputation using The Childhood Health, Activity, and Motor Performance School Study Denmark (CHA…
Return-to-baseline is an important method to impute missing values or unobserved potential outcomes when certain hypothetical strategies are used to handle intercurrent events in clinical trials. Current return-to-baseline approaches seen in literature and in practice inflate the variability of the "complete" dataset after imputation and lead to biased mean estimators {when the probability of missingness depends on the observed baseline and/or postbaseline intermediate outcomes}. In this article, we first provide a set of criteria a return-to-baseline imputation method should satisfy. Under th…
Imputing missing values is an important preprocessing step in data analysis, but the literature offers little guidance on how to choose between different imputation models. This letter suggests adopting the imputation model that generates a density of imputed values most similar to those of the observed values for an incomplete variable after balancing all other covariates. We recommend stable balancing weights as a practical approach to balance covariates whose distribution is expected to differ if the values are not missing completely at random. After balancing, discrepancy statistics can be…
Missing data present challenges in data analysis. Naive analyses such as complete-case and available-case analysis may introduce bias and loss of efficiency, and produce unreliable results. Multiple imputation (MI) is one of the most widely used methods for handling missing data which can be partly attributed to its ease of use. However, existing MI methods implemented in most statistical software are not applicable to or do not perform well in high-dimensional settings where the number of predictors is large relative to the sample size. To remedy this issue, we develop an MI approach that use…
In clinical trials, mixed effects models for repeated measures (MMRM) and pattern mixture models (PMM) are often used to analyze longitudinal continuous outcomes. We describe a simple missing data imputation algorithm for the MMRM that can be easily implemented in standard statistical software packages such as SAS PROC MI. We explore the relationship of the missing data distribution in the control-based and delta-adjusted PMMs with that in the MMRM, and suggest an efficient imputation algorithm for these PMMs. The unobserved values in PMMs can be imputed by subtracting the mean difference in t…
Missing data are ubiquitous in real world applications and, if not adequately handled, may lead to the loss of information and biased findings in downstream analysis. Particularly, high-dimensional incomplete data with a moderate sample size, such as analysis of multi-omics data, present daunting challenges. Imputation is arguably the most popular method for handling missing data, though existing imputation methods have a number of limitations. Single imputation methods such as matrix completion methods do not adequately account for imputation uncertainty and hence would yield improper statist…
Imputation and propensity score weighting are two popular techniques for handling missing data. We address these problems using the regularized M-estimation techniques in the reproducing kernel Hilbert space. Specifically, we first use the kernel ridge regression to develop imputation for handling item nonresponse. While this nonparametric approach is potentially promising for imputation, its statistical properties are not investigated in the literature. Under some conditions on the order of the tuning parameter, we first establish the root-$n$ consistency of the kernel ridge regression imputa…
The analysis of telemetry data is common in animal ecological studies. While the collection of telemetry data for individual animals has improved dramatically, the methods to properly account for inherent uncertainties (e.g., measurement error, dependence, barriers to movement) have lagged behind. Still, many new statistical approaches have been developed to infer unknown quantities affecting animal movement or predict movement based on telemetry data. Hierarchical statistical models are useful to account for some of the aforementioned uncertainties, as well as provide population-level inferen…
Causal discovery algorithms estimate causal graphs from observational data. This can provide a valuable complement to analyses focussing on the causal relation between individual treatment-outcome pairs. Constraint-based causal discovery algorithms rely on conditional independence testing when building the graph. Until recently, these algorithms have been unable to handle missing values. In this paper, we investigate two alternative solutions: Test-wise deletion and multiple imputation. We establish necessary and sufficient conditions for the recoverability of causal structures under test-wise…
Large-sample properties of multiple imputation estimators for parameters of logistic regression with covariates missing at random separately or simultaneously
研究两组分类协变量分别或同时 MAR 时 logistic 回归 MI 估计量的渐近性质，提出修正方差估计，并通过模拟和逢甲夜市调查数据验证其优势。
Missing and incomplete information in surveys or databases can be imputed using different statistical and soft-computing techniques. This paper comprehensively compares auto-associative neural networks (NN), neuro-fuzzy (NF) systems and the hybrid combinations the above methods with hot-deck imputation. The tests are conducted on an eight category antenatal survey and also under principal component analysis (PCA) conditions. The neural network outperforms the neuro-fuzzy system for all tests by an average of 5.8%, while the hybrid method is on average 15.9% more accurate yet 50% less computati…
Randomized controlled trials are considered the gold standard to evaluate the treatment effect (estimand) for efficacy and safety. According to the recent International Council on Harmonisation (ICH)-E9 addendum (R1), intercurrent events (ICEs) need to be considered when defining an estimand, and principal stratum is one of the five strategies to handle ICEs. Qu et al. (2020, Statistics in Biopharmaceutical Research 12:1-18) proposed estimators for the adherer average causal effect (AdACE) for estimating the treatment difference for those who adhere to one or both treatments based on the causa…
Gary and Mary West Health Institute（加里与玛丽·韦斯特健康研究所）
Although data may be abundant, complete data is less so, due to missing columns or rows. This missingness undermines the performance of downstream data products that either omit incomplete cases or create derived completed data for subsequent processing. Appropriately managing missing data is required in order to fully exploit and correctly use data. We propose a Multiple Imputation model using Denoising Autoencoders to learn the internal representation of data. Furthermore, we use the novel mechanisms of Metamorphic Truth and Imputation Feedback to maintain statistical integrity of attributes…
Clinical decision support using data mining techniques offers more intelligent way to reduce the decision error in the last few years. However, clinical datasets often suffer from high missingness, which adversely impacts the quality of modelling if handled improperly. Imputing missing values provides an opportunity to resolve the issue. Conventional imputation methods adopt simple statistical analysis, such as mean imputation or discarding missing cases, which have many limitations and thus degrade the performance of learning. This study examines a series of machine learning based imputation …
Bayesian likelihood-free methods implement Bayesian inference using simulation of data from the model to substitute for intractable likelihood evaluations. Most likelihood-free inference methods replace the full data set with a summary statistic before performing Bayesian inference, and the choice of this statistic is often difficult. The summary statistic should be low-dimensional for computational reasons, while retaining as much information as possible about the parameter. Using a recent idea from the interpretable machine learning literature, we develop some regression-based diagnostic met…
Multiple imputation is a common approach for dealing with missing values in statistical databases. The imputer fills in missing values with draws from predictive models estimated from the observed data, resulting in multiple, completed versions of the database. Researchers have developed a variety of default routines to implement multiple imputation; however, there has been limited research comparing the performance of these methods, particularly for categorical data. We use simulation studies to compare repeated sampling properties of three default multiple imputation methods for categorical …
Missing data on response variables are common in clinical studies. Corresponding to the uncertainty of missing mechanism, theoretical frameworks on controlled imputation have been developed. In practice, it is recommended to conduct a statistically valid analysis under the primary assumptions on missing data, followed by sensitivity analysis under alternative assumptions to assess the robustness of results. Due to the availability of software, controlled multiple imputation (MI) procedures, including delta-based and reference-based approaches, have become popular for analyzing continuous varia…
With medical tests becoming increasingly available, concerns about over-testing and over-treatment dramatically increase. Hence, it is important to understand the influence of testing on treatment selection in general practice. Most statistical methods focus on average effects of testing on treatment decisions. However, this may be ill-advised, particularly for patient subgroups that tend not to benefit from such tests. Furthermore, missing data are common, representing large and often unaddressed threats to the validity of statistical methods. Finally, it is desirable to conduct analyses that…
In this paper, we expand the methodology presented in Mertens et. al (2020, Biometrical Journal) to the study of life-time (survival) outcome which is subject to censoring and when imputation is used to account for missing values. We consider the problem where missing values can occur in both the calibration data as well as newly - to-be-predicted - observations (validation). We focus on the Cox model. Methods are described to combine imputation with predictive calibration in survival modeling subject to censoring. Application to cross-validation is discussed. We demonstrate how conclusions br…
