arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2409.07585cs.LGcs.AIphysics.ao-ph
收藏

神经天气预报的高效局部适配:以中东和北非(MENA)地区为例的案例研究

Efficient Localized Adaptation of Neural Weather Forecasting: A Case Study in the MENA Region

Linköping University(林雪平大学);Mohamed bin Zayed University of AI(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学);Australian National University(澳大利亚国立大学)

Muhammad Akhtar Munir, Fahad Shahbaz Khan, Salman Khan

AI总结:

针对传统数值天气预报计算成本高、效率低的问题,本研究以中东和北非地区为案例,验证了将LoRA等参数高效微调方法用于神经天气预报局部适配,可同时提升预测精度与训练、资源利用效率。

摘要:

准确的天气与气候建模对科学进步及保护社区免受环境风险侵害至关重要。传统方法高度依赖数值天气预报(Numerical Weather Prediction, NWP)模型,这类模型模拟地球系统中的能量与物质流动。但NWP的高计算需求与低效率限制了其适用性,因此迫切需要更先进的建模技术。基于神经网络的模型已成为颇具前景的替代方案,它们利用数据驱动方法预测大气变量。在本研究中,我们聚焦于有限区域建模,专门针对局部区域级下游任务训练模型。作为案例研究,我们选取中东和北非(MENA)地区,该地区面临独特的气候挑战,准确的局部天气预报对水资源管理、农业生产及减轻极端天气事件影响至关重要。这种针对性方法使我们能够让模型能力适配目标区域的独特条件。本研究旨在验证整合参数高效微调(parameter-efficient fine-tuning, PEFT)方法——具体为低秩适配(Low-Rank Adaptation, LoRA)及其变体——的有效性,以提升特定区域天气与气候建模中的预测精度,同时加快训练速度、优化计算资源利用率并提高内存效率。

英文摘要:

Accurate weather and climate modeling is critical for both scientific advancement and safeguarding communities against environmental risks. Traditional approaches rely heavily on Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models, which simulate energy and matter flow across Earth's systems. However, heavy computational requirements and low efficiency restrict the suitability of NWP, leading to a pressing need for enhanced modeling techniques. Neural network-based models have emerged as promising alternatives, leveraging data-driven approaches to forecast atmospheric variables. In this work, we focus on limited-area modeling and train our model specifically for localized region-level downstream tasks. As a case study, we consider the MENA region due to its unique climatic challenges, where accurate localized weather forecasting is crucial for managing water resources, agriculture and mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events. This targeted approach allows us to tailor the model's capabilities to the unique conditions of the region of interest. Our study aims to validate the effectiveness of integrating parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) methodologies, specifically Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) and its variants, to enhance forecast accuracy, as well as training speed, computational resource utilization, and memory efficiency in weather and climate modeling for specific regions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑