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arXiv 2409.06271stat.MLcs.LGstat.ME
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全局敏感性分析的新范式

A new paradigm for global sensitivity analysis

Gildas Mazo

AI总结:

本文提出了一种新的全局敏感性分析范式,通过重新定义Sobol指数,无需Sobol分解即可计算敏感性度量,扩展了现有敏感性指数并定义了独立于敏感性度量的选择的交互效应。

摘要:

众所周知,Sobol指数作为最流行的敏感性指数之一,基于Sobol分解。本文挑战这一构建方式,通过重新定义Sobol指数而不依赖Sobol分解。实际上,我们证明Sobol指数是更一般概念——敏感性度量的一个特例。一个系统输入输出的敏感性度量是一个集合函数,当且仅当在输入子集上概率为一的情况下,输出不依赖于这些输入时,该函数在该子集上为零。对所有可能的输入组合考虑,敏感性度量诱导了一个隐含的对称双因素实验,其因子效应可以计算。这种新的范式扩展了许多已知的敏感性指数,可以创建新的指数,并定义独立于敏感性度量选择的交互效应。不需要对输入分布做任何假设。

英文摘要:

It is well-known that Sobol indices, which count among the most popular sensitivity indices, are based on the Sobol decomposition. Here we challenge this construction by redefining Sobol indices without the Sobol decomposition. In fact, we show that Sobol indices are a particular instance of a more general concept which we call sensitivity measures. A sensitivity measure of a system taking inputs and returning outputs is a set function that is null at a subset of inputs if and only if, with probability one, the output actually does not depend on those inputs. A sensitivity measure evaluated at the whole set of inputs represents the uncertainty about the output. We show that measuring sensitivity to a particular subset is akin to measuring the expected output's uncertainty conditionally on the fact that the inputs belonging to that subset have been fixed to random values. By considering all of the possible combinations of inputs, sensitivity measures induce an implicit symmetric factorial experiment with two levels, the factorial effects of which can be calculated. This new paradigm generalizes many known sensitivity indices, can create new ones, and defines interaction effects independently of the choice of the sensitivity measure. No assumption about the distribution of the inputs is required.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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