arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2409.06004math.OC
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面向可持续、韧性与优化的全球电动汽车供应链仿真模型

Simulation Models for Sustainable, Resilient, and Optimized Global Electric Vehicles Supply Chain

Tareq Alsaleh, Bilal Farooq

AI总结:

本研究构建全球电动汽车供应链数字孪生以量化碳足迹与韧性,并提出枢纽及资源配置优化模型,将脆弱性和排放最高降低80%。

摘要:

尽管向电动汽车(EVs)转型对于交通系统脱碳至关重要,但电动汽车的生产和分销会产生大量碳成本。为确保这些排放得到准确核算并被有效缓解,本研究引入了一个电动汽车供应链数字孪生,以弥补当前电动汽车生命周期分析中的关键空白,并首次对其环境可持续性和韧性进行全面量化。该仿真模型复现全球市场动态,捕捉电动汽车供应链的复杂性和不确定性,从而能够全面评估其碳足迹、可持续性、韧性,以及针对替代市场结构的假设反事实情景。结果表明,在不同电池技术下,平均供应链排放量介于6.42至6.94 Kg e-CO2/KWh之间。此外,物质流分析显示,供应链各阶段均存在不平衡的依赖关系,其中一个地理区域在供应链结构中占据显著主导地位,突显出当前供应链架构韧性低、脆弱性高。基于这些发现,本研究提出了一个用于枢纽与资源配置布局的优化模型,可将脆弱性水平和供应链排放有效降低至多80%。

英文摘要:

While the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) is essential for decarbonizing the transportation system, the production and distribution of EVs entail substantial carbon costs. To ensure these emissions are accurately accounted for and effectively mitigated, this research introduces a digital twin of the EV's supply chain, addressing a critical gap in current EV life cycle analyses and providing the first comprehensive quantification of its environmental sustainability and resilience. This simulation model replicates global market dynamics and captures the complexity and uncertainty of the EV supply chain, enabling a thorough evaluation of its carbon footprint, sustainability, resilience, and what-if counterfactual scenarios for alternative market structures. The results reveal that average supply chain emissions range from 6.42 to 6.94 Kg e-CO2/KWh across different battery technologies. Additionally, the mass flow analysis shows unbalanced dependencies at all supply phases, with one geographical region significantly dominating the supply chain structure, highlighting the current supply chain architecture's low resilience and high vulnerability. In light of these findings, the study introduces an optimization model for hub and resource allocation configuration, effectively reducing vulnerability levels and supply chain emissions by up to 80%.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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