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arXiv 2408.13622cs.LGcs.AI

推进企业时空预测应用:数据挖掘结合语言模型指令微调用于低资源环境下的多模态时间序列分析

Advancing Enterprise Spatio-Temporal Forecasting Applications: Data Mining Meets Instruction Tuning of Language Models For Multi-modal Time Series Analysis in Low-Resource Settings

TCS Research(塔塔咨询服务研究中心);IIIT Pune(印度信息技术学院浦那分校);IIT Dharwad(达尔瓦德印度理工学院)

Sagar Srinivas Sakhinana, Geethan Sannidhi, Chidaksh Ravuru, Venkataramana Runkana

AI总结:

针对低资源环境下大型复杂数据集的时空预测难题,提出整合传统预测与语言模型指令微调的多模态方法,采用混合专家与参数高效微调架构,通过先时间后空间建模处理非平稳数据依赖,显著提升了预测准确性与决策能力。

摘要:

时空预测在交通、物流和供应链管理中至关重要。然而,当前方法在处理大型复杂数据集时存在困难。我们提出了一种动态的多模态方法,整合了传统预测方法的优势与小语言模型指令微调(instruction tuning)在时间序列趋势分析中的能力。该方法采用混合专家架构与参数高效微调(PEFT)方法,专为消费级硬件定制,以在低资源环境下扩展AI解决方案,同时平衡性能与延迟的权衡。此外,我们的方法利用相似输入时间序列的相关历史经验,采用先时间后空间的建模方式,使用分组查询注意力(grouped-query attention),高效处理非平稳数据的序列内和序列间依赖关系,同时减轻传统预测技术在处理分布偏移时的局限性。我们的方法对预测不确定性进行建模以改善决策制定。该框架支持本地定制,降低了计算和内存需求,同时保持推理速度与数据隐私/安全性。在多个真实世界数据集上的大量实验表明,我们的框架提供了稳健且准确的预测,显著优于现有方法。

英文摘要:

Spatio-temporal forecasting is crucial in transportation, logistics, and supply chain management. However, current methods struggle with large, complex datasets. We propose a dynamic, multi-modal approach that integrates the strengths of traditional forecasting methods and instruction tuning of small language models for time series trend analysis. This approach utilizes a mixture of experts (MoE) architecture with parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) methods, tailored for consumer hardware to scale up AI solutions in low resource settings while balancing performance and latency tradeoffs. Additionally, our approach leverages related past experiences for similar input time series to efficiently handle both intra-series and inter-series dependencies of non-stationary data with a time-then-space modeling approach, using grouped-query attention, while mitigating the limitations of traditional forecasting techniques in handling distributional shifts. Our approach models predictive uncertainty to improve decision-making. Our framework enables on-premises customization with reduced computational and memory demands, while maintaining inference speed and data privacy/security. Extensive experiments on various real-world datasets demonstrate that our framework provides robust and accurate forecasts, significantly outperforming existing methods.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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