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arXiv 2408.02839stat.MLcs.LG
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小批量估计用于深度Cox模型:统计基础与实践指导

Mini-batch Estimation for Deep Cox Models: Statistical Foundations and Practical Guidance

Department of Biostatistics and Health Data Science, University of Pittsburgh(生物统计与健康数据科学系,匹兹堡大学);Department of Statistics and Data Science, Carnegie Mellon University(统计与数据科学系,卡内基梅隆大学);Department of Statistics, University of Pittsburgh(统计系,匹兹堡大学)

Lang Zeng, Weijing Tang, Zhao Ren, Ying Ding

AI总结:

本文探讨了小批量梯度下降在深度Cox模型中的应用,建立了小批量最大偏似然估计器的统计性质,并通过理论分析和模拟验证了其一致性与最优收敛率,同时提供了实践指导和实际应用案例。

摘要:

随机梯度下降(SGD)算法广泛用于优化深度Cox神经网络(Cox-NN),通过使用数据小批量更新模型参数。本文显示SGD旨在优化小批量偏似然的平均值,这与标准偏似然不同。这种区别要求开发新的统计性质用于全局优化器,即小批量最大偏似然估计器(mb-MPLE)。我们证明Cox-NN的mb-MPLE是自洽的,并在多项对数因子范围内达到最优最小最大收敛率。对于具有线性协变量效应的Cox回归,我们进一步证明mb-MPLE是√n自洽的,并在样本量增加时渐近正态,其渐近方差接近信息下界。此外,我们提供了使用SGD的实践指导,通过理论分析和数值证据支持。对于Cox-NN,我们证明学习率与小批量大小的比率在SGD动态中是关键,提供了超参数调节的见解。对于Cox回归,我们刻画了SGD的迭代收敛性,确保全局优化器mb-MPLE可以足够迭代次数近似。最后,我们展示了mb-MPLE在大规模实际应用中的有效性,其中标准MPLE不可行。

英文摘要:

The stochastic gradient descent (SGD) algorithm has been widely used to optimize deep Cox neural network (Cox-NN) by updating model parameters using mini-batches of data. We show that SGD aims to optimize the average of mini-batch partial-likelihood, which is different from the standard partial-likelihood. This distinction requires developing new statistical properties for the global optimizer, namely, the mini-batch maximum partial-likelihood estimator (mb-MPLE). We establish that mb-MPLE for Cox-NN is consistent and achieves the optimal minimax convergence rate up to a polylogarithmic factor. For Cox regression with linear covariate effects, we further show that mb-MPLE is $\sqrt{n}$-consistent and asymptotically normal with asymptotic variance approaching the information lower bound as batch size increases, which is confirmed by simulation studies. Additionally, we offer practical guidance on using SGD, supported by theoretical analysis and numerical evidence. For Cox-NN, we demonstrate that the ratio of the learning rate to the batch size is critical in SGD dynamics, offering insight into hyperparameter tuning. For Cox regression, we characterize the iterative convergence of SGD, ensuring that the global optimizer, mb-MPLE, can be approximated with sufficiently many iterations. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of mb-MPLE in a large-scale real-world application where the standard MPLE is intractable.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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