基于ANP和FMEA的项目经理选拔风险分析
Risk Analysis in the Selection of Project Managers Based on ANP and FMEA
AI总结：
针对工程公司高层对项目经理选拔标准及缺失风险认识不足的问题，本研究结合ANP与FMEA方法，识别出土木工程项目经理选拔的五大类风险并明确最高风险项，验证了该组合方法相较传统FMEA的优效性。
摘要：
项目经理对项目成功起着至关重要的作用，选拔合适的项目经理是企业高层管理者的核心关切。通常这一流程包含候选人面试与能力评估，项目经理选拔存在多项标准，每项标准的重要性取决于项目类型、项目条件，以及当选候选人不具备该标准时所关联的风险。工程公司的高层管理者往往对这些标准的重要性，以及缺失这些标准带来的潜在风险认识不足。本研究旨在识别土木工程项目项目经理选拔中的此类风险，采用ANP-FMEA（网络分析法-失效模式与影响分析）组合方法。通过全面的文献综述，研究确定了五大风险类别：个人技能、权力相关问题、知识与专业能力、经验以及人格特质。随后，研究运用ANP-FMEA组合技术，对这些风险及其各自的子标准和内部关联进行了分析。结果显示，缺乏政治影响力、无施工经验以及项目管理专业能力不足，是项目经理选拔中最突出的三大风险。此外，与传统FMEA方法相比，本研究证明ANP-FMEA模型在风险区分、识别高风险等级因素方面能力更优。
英文摘要：
Project managers play a crucial role in the success of projects. The selection of an appropriate project manager is a primary concern for senior managers in firms. Typically, this process involves candidate interviews and assessments of their abilities. There are various criteria for selecting a project manager, and the importance of each criterion depends on the project type, its conditions, and the risks associated with their absence in the chosen candidate. Often, senior managers in engineering companies lack awareness of the significance of these criteria and the potential risks linked to their absence. This research aims to identify these risks in selecting project managers for civil engineering projects, utilizing a combined ANP-FMEA approach. Through a comprehensive literature review, five risk categories have been identified: individual skills, power-related issues, knowledge and expertise, experience, and personality traits. Subsequently, these risks, along with their respective sub-criteria and internal relationships, were analysed using the combined ANP-FMEA technique. The results highlighted that the lack of political influence, absence of construction experience, and deficiency in project management expertise represent the most substantial risks in selecting a project manager. Moreover, upon comparison with the traditional FMEA approach, this study demonstrates the superior ability of the ANP-FMEA model in differentiating risks and pinpointing factors with elevated risk levels.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
