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arXiv 2309.02494astro-ph.GA
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超大质量黑洞尾迹还是无核球侧向星系?II:两种物理情景的量级分析

Supermassive black hole wake or bulgeless edge-on galaxy? II: Order-of-magnitude analysis of the two physical scenarios

J. Sanchez Almeida

AI总结:

该研究通过概率分析比较了vD23天体两种解释:逃逸超大质量黑洞尾迹或无核球侧向星系,发现后者概率高出约11个数量级,奥卡姆剃刀原则支持侧向星系解释。

摘要:

背景:最近发现的一个细长天体与一个邻近星系对齐,可能是由超大质量黑洞(SMBH)被三体相遇的弹弓效应从邻近星系弹出后穿过时留下的恒星尾迹。另一种可能是,该天体是一个无核球侧向星系,恰好与第二个邻近伴星系对齐。与后者相比,SMBH解释需要多个不可能事件同时发生。目标:我们旨在为这两种竞争情景赋予发生概率。方法:SMBH穿过留下恒星痕迹的概率被分解为所有独立事件概率的乘积(PSMBH),然后逐一估计每个因子。同样的过程也应用于侧向星系解释(Pgalax)。结果:我们的估计得出log(Pgalax/PSMBH) ≈ 11.4 ± 1.6,其中误差评估考虑到Pgalax和PSMBH都是大量随机独立变量的乘积。基于估计的概率,PSMBH < 6 × 10⁻¹⁷ 且 Pgalax > 1.4 × 10⁻⁵,我们确定了在各种现有、进行中和未来的巡天中,以及在所有可观测星系(即观测10⁶到2 × 10¹²个星系时)中预期可探测到的天体数量。在侧向星系情景下,总有可探测的天体;而在SMBH情景下,预期始终与零相容。结论:尽管逃逸SMBH解释具有吸引力,但基于奥卡姆剃刀原则的论证明显倾向于无核球侧向星系解释。我们的工作并不排除逃逸SMBH留下恒星尾迹的存在,而是表明vD23天体更可能是无核球侧向星系。

英文摘要:

-- Context. A recently discovered thin long object aligned with a nearby galaxy could be the stellar wake induced by the passage of a supermassive black hole (SMBH) kicked out from the nearby galaxy by the slingshot effect of a three-body encounter of SMBHs. Alternatively, the object could be a bulgeless edge-on galaxy coincidentally aligned with a second nearby companion. In contrast with the latter, the SMBH interpretation requires a number of unlikely events to happen simultaneously. -- Aims. We aim to assign a probability of occurrence to the two competing scenarios. -- Methods. The probability that the SMBH passage leaves a trace of stars is factorized as the product of the probabilities of all the independent events required for this to happen (PSMBH). Then, each factor is estimated individually. The same exercise is repeated with the edge-on galaxy interpretation (Pgalax). -- Results. Our estimate yields log(Pgalax/PSMBH) simeq 11.4 pm 1.6, where the error is evaluated considering that both Pgalax and PSMBH are products of a large number of random independent variables. Based on the estimated probabilities, PSMBH < 6 x 10**-17 and Pgalax > 1.4 x 10**-5, we determined the number of objects to be expected in various existing, ongoing, and forthcoming surveys, as well as among all observable galaxies (i.e., when observing between 10**6 and 2 x 10**12 galaxies). In the edge-on galaxy scenario, there are always objects to be detected, whereas in the SMBH scenario, the expectation is always compatible with zero. -- Conclusions. Despite the appeal of the runaway SMBH explanation, arguments based on the Occam's razor clearly favor the bulgeless edge-on galaxy interpretation. Our work does not rule out the existence of runaway SMBHs leaving stellar trails. It tells that the vD23 object is more likely to be a bulgeless edge-on galaxy.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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