构建分隔自行车道与电动自行车道可行性分析的综合模型：以上海为例
Developing a Comprehensive Model for Feasibility Analysis of Separated Bike Lanes and Electric Bike Lanes: A Case Study in Shanghai, China
AI总结：
本研究以上海为例，基于混合非机动车流特性重校常规自行车道通行能力与安全性能，结合层次分析法与模糊数学提出考虑通行能力、安全、预算的电动自行车道可行性评估综合模型，经实验验证可为相关决策提供支持。
摘要：
电动自行车（e-bike，含带踏板的轻型电动自行车和踏板车形式的电动自行车）因便捷性与经济性在全球范围内日益普及。与此同时，与电动自行车相关的事故也呈上升趋势，许多政策制定者和从业者正就在所在社区建设电动自行车道的可行性展开讨论。本研究通过收集上海市的电动自行车与自行车数据，首先基于混合车流的交通运行特性，重新校准了常规自行车道的通行能力。随后，研究通过观测到的超车事件，评估了常规自行车道内混合车流的交通安全性能。最后，本研究综合考虑通行能力、安全和预算约束三大目标，结合层次分析法（Analytic Hierarchy Process）与模糊数学，提出了一套评估电动自行车道建设可行性的综合模型。该模型属于同类研究中的首批成果，可用于：（1）通过分析混合车流的到达率和超车行为，评估含电动自行车与人力自行车的混合车流的现有道路通行能力及安全性能提升空间；（2）量化新建电动自行车道后道路通行能力与安全性能的变化。研究以上海的非机动车轨迹数据开展数值实验，对所提模型进行校准并评估其性能。数值实验结果表明，该模型可供政策制定者和从业者用于评估电动自行车道的建设可行性。
英文摘要：
Electric bikes (e-bikes), including lightweight e-bikes with pedals and e-bikes in scooter form, are gaining popularity around the world because of their convenience and affordability. At the same time, e-bike-related accidents are also on the rise and many policymakers and practitioners are debating the feasibility of building e-bike lanes in their communities. By collecting e-bikes and bikes data in Shanghai City, the study first recalibrates the capacity of the conventional bike lane based on the traffic movement characteristics of the mixed bikes flow. Then, the study evaluates the traffic safety performance of the mixed bike flow in the conventional bike lane by the observed passing events. Finally, this study proposes a comprehensive model for evaluating the feasibility of building an e-bike lane by integrating the Analytic Hierarchy Process and fuzzy mathematics by considering the three objectives: capacity, safety, and budget constraint. The proposed model, one of the first of its kind, can be used to (i) evaluate the existing road capacity and safety performance improvement of a mixed bike flow with e-bikes and human-powered bikes by analyzing the mixed bike flow arrival rate and passing maneuvers, and (ii) quantify the changes to the road capacity and safety performance if a new e-bike lane is constructed. Numerical experiments are performed to calibrate the proposed model and evaluate its performance using non-motorized vehicles' trajectories in Shanghai, China. The numerical experiment results suggest that the proposed model can be used by policymakers and practitioners to evaluate the feasibility of building e-bike lanes.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
