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arXiv 2307.13232q-fin.GNstat.AP
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市场火热时购房者风险认知的变化与短记忆——以新西兰克赖斯特彻奇为例

Changes in Risk Appreciation, and Short Memory of House Buyers When the Market is Hot, a Case Study of Christchurch, New Zealand

Emil Mendoza, Fabian Dunker, Marco Reale

AI总结:

本研究用特征价格模型分析新西兰克赖斯特彻奇地震后、新冠封控前后三个时期的房价,发现购房者对地震风险的估值随时间推移变化,且封控前后地块面积的特征价格有可观测偏移,体现了购房者的风险认知短记忆特性。

摘要:

本文采用成熟的hedonic price model(特征价格模型),分析了克赖斯特彻奇三个不同时期的房价:2011年地震后、COVID-19封控前以及COVID-19封控后。结果显示,与地震发生后不久的购房者相比,距离2011年克赖斯特彻奇地震时间较远时期的购房者对房产潜在地震损害风险的估值存在差异。我们发现不同时期的特征价格存在可观测的变化,尤其是COVID-19封控前后的地块面积特征价格变化明显。

英文摘要:

In this paper house prices in Christchurch are analyzed over three distinct periods of time: post-2011 earthquake, pre-COVID-19 lockdown, and post-COVID-19 lockdown using the well-established hedonic price model. Results show that buyers, in periods that are temporally distant from the 2011 Christchurch earthquake, value the risk of potential earthquake damage to a property differently from buyers soon after the earthquake. We find that there are observable shifts in hedonic prices across the different time periods, specifically for section size pre and post COVID-19 lockdown.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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