arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2305.08062stat.MLcs.AIcs.LG

基于合取效应建模的大动作空间离策略评估

Off-Policy Evaluation for Large Action Spaces via Conjunct Effect Modeling

Cornell University(康奈尔大学)

Yuta Saito, Qingyang Ren, Thorsten Joachims

AI总结:

针对大离散动作空间下上下文老虎机离策略评估传统重要性加权方法方差过大的问题,提出基于合取效应模型的OffCEM估计器,结合簇级重要性加权与两步式模型估计,在局部正确性条件下无偏,实验证明其偏差和方差均优于传统方法。

摘要:

我们研究了大离散动作空间下上下文老虎机策略的离策略评估(OPE)问题,传统的重要性加权方法在该场景下会出现方差过大的问题。为解决这一方差问题,我们提出了一种名为OffCEM的新估计器,它基于合取效应模型(CEM)——一种将因果效应分解为簇效应和残差效应的新型分解方式。OffCEM仅对动作簇应用重要性加权,并通过基于模型的奖励估计处理残差因果效应。我们证明,所提出的估计器在一种名为局部正确性的新条件下是无偏的,该条件仅要求残差效应模型保留每个簇内各动作的相对期望奖励差异。为充分利用CEM和局部正确性,我们还提出了一种新的两步式基于模型的估计流程,第一步最小化偏差,第二步最小化方差。我们发现,与一系列传统估计器相比,最终得到的OffCEM估计器在偏差和方差上均有大幅提升。实验表明,OffCEM在OPE任务中带来了显著提升,尤其在动作数量较多的情况下效果更突出。

英文摘要:

We study off-policy evaluation (OPE) of contextual bandit policies for large discrete action spaces where conventional importance-weighting approaches suffer from excessive variance. To circumvent this variance issue, we propose a new estimator, called OffCEM, that is based on the conjunct effect model (CEM), a novel decomposition of the causal effect into a cluster effect and a residual effect. OffCEM applies importance weighting only to action clusters and addresses the residual causal effect through model-based reward estimation. We show that the proposed estimator is unbiased under a new condition, called local correctness, which only requires that the residual-effect model preserves the relative expected reward differences of the actions within each cluster. To best leverage the CEM and local correctness, we also propose a new two-step procedure for performing model-based estimation that minimizes bias in the first step and variance in the second step. We find that the resulting OffCEM estimator substantially improves bias and variance compared to a range of conventional estimators. Experiments demonstrate that OffCEM provides substantial improvements in OPE especially in the presence of many actions.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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