本文提出 Deep Energy Twin，融合本体驱动的参数化数字孪生与深度学习分析建筑运行数据，并通过瑞典历史建筑案例比较前沿模型的能源预测性能。
摘要：
建筑领域的数字化转型积累了海量运行数据，这就需要智能解决方案来利用这些数据提升能源绩效。本研究提出了一种名为 Deep Energy Twin 的解决方案，将深度学习与数字孪生相结合，以更好地理解建筑能源使用情况，并识别提升能源效率的潜力。研究采用本体来创建参数化数字孪生，从而保证建筑内不同系统之间数据格式的一致性。基于所创建的数字孪生和收集的数据，使用深度学习方法开展数据分析，以识别模式并为能源优化提供洞见。作为示范，研究在瑞典 Norrköping 的一座公共历史建筑中进行了案例研究，以比较最先进的深度学习架构在建筑能源预测中的性能。
英文摘要：
Digital transformation in buildings accumulates massive operational data, which calls for smart solutions to utilize these data to improve energy performance. This study has proposed a solution, namely Deep Energy Twin, for integrating deep learning and digital twins to better understand building energy use and identify the potential for improving energy efficiency. Ontology was adopted to create parametric digital twins to provide consistency of data format across different systems in a building. Based on created digital twins and collected data, deep learning methods were used for performing data analytics to identify patterns and provide insights for energy optimization. As a demonstration, a case study was conducted in a public historic building in Norrköping, Sweden, to compare the performance of state-of-the-art deep learning architectures in building energy forecasting.
Evidence-based Prescriptive Analytics (EbPA) is necessary to determine optimal operational set-points that will improve business productivity. EbPA results from what-if analysis and counterfactual experimentation on CAUSAL Digital Twins (CDTs) that quantify cause-effect relationships in the DYNAMICS of a system of connected assets. We describe the basics of Causality and Causal Graphs and develop a Learning Causal Digital Twin (LCDT) solution; our algorithm uses a simple recurrent neural network with some innovative modifications incorporating Causal Graph simulation. Since LCDT is a learning …
Future manufacturing requires complex systems that connect simulation platforms and virtualization with physical data from industrial processes. Digital twins incorporate a physical twin, a digital twin, and the connection between the two. Benefits of using digital twins, especially in manufacturing, are abundant as they can increase efficiency across an entire manufacturing life-cycle. The digital twin concept has become increasingly sophisticated and capable over time, enabled by rises in many technologies. In this paper, we detail the cognitive digital twin as the next stage of advancement …
The use of machine learning (ML) model as digital-twins for reduced-order-modeling (ROM) in lieu of system codes has grown traction over the past few years. However, due to the complex and non-linear nature of nuclear reactor transients as well as the large range of tasks required, it is infeasible for a single ML model to generalize across all tasks. In this paper, we incorporate issue specific digital-twin ML models with ensembles to enhance the prediction outcome. The ensemble also utilizes an indirect probabilistic tracking method of surrogate state variables to produce accurate prediction…
Centre Tecnològic de Telecomunicacions de Catalunya（加泰罗尼亚电信技术中心）；Aalborg University（奥尔堡大学）；LUT University（拉彭兰塔工业大学）
In this paper, a hyperparameter tuning based Bayesian optimization of digital twins is carried out to diagnose various faults in grid connected inverters. As fault detection and diagnosis require very high precision, we channelize our efforts towards an online optimization of the digital twins, which, in turn, allows a flexible implementation with limited amount of data. As a result, the proposed framework not only becomes a practical solution for model versioning and deployment of digital twins design with limited data, but also allows integration of deep learning tools to improve the hyperpa…
We provide some basic and sensible definitions of different types of digital twins and recommendations on when and how to use them. Following up on our recent publication of the Learning Causal Digital Twin, this article reports on a stochastic formulation and solution of the problem. Structural Vector Autoregressive Model (SVAR) for Causal estimation is recast as a state-space model. Kalman filter (and smoother) is then employed to estimate causal factors in a system of connected machine bearings. The previous neural network algorithm and Kalman Smoother produced very similar results; however…
Aalto University（阿尔托大学）；Semantum Oy（Semantum 公司）；VTT Technical Research Centre of Finland Ltd（芬兰国家技术研究中心）
Making an updated and as-built model plays an important role in the life-cycle of a process plant. In particular, Digital Twin models must be precise to guarantee the efficiency and reliability of the systems. Data-driven models can simulate the latest behavior of the sub-systems by considering uncertainties and life-cycle related changes. This paper presents a step-by-step concept for hybrid Digital Twin models of process plants using an early implemented prototype as an example. It will detail the steps for updating the first-principles model and Digital Twin of a brownfield process system u…
Queen’s University Belfast（贝尔法斯特女王大学）；National Chiao Tung University (NCTU)（国立交通大学）；National Yang Ming Chiao Tung University (NYCU)（国立阳明交通大学）
While the concept of a digital twin to support maritime operations is gaining attention for predictive maintenance, real-time monitoring, control, and overall process optimization, clarity on its implementation is missing in the literature. Therefore, in this review we show how different authors implemented their digital twins, discuss our findings, and finally give insights on future research directions.
Iowa State University（爱荷华州立大学）；The Hong Kong Polytechnic University（香港理工大学）；Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Lausanne（洛桑联邦理工学院）；National Institute of Standards and Technology（美国国家标准与技术研究院）；GE Research（通用电气研究中心）；Seoul National University（首尔国立大学）；University of California, San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校）；Vanderbilt University（范德堡大学）
As an emerging technology in the era of Industry 4.0, digital twin is gaining unprecedented attention because of its promise to further optimize process design, quality control, health monitoring, decision and policy making, and more, by comprehensively modeling the physical world as a group of interconnected digital models. In a two-part series of papers, we examine the fundamental role of different modeling techniques, twinning enabling technologies, and uncertainty quantification and optimization methods commonly used in digital twins. This second paper presents a literature review of key e…
Iowa State University（爱荷华州立大学）；The Hong Kong Polytechnic University（香港理工大学）；EPFL（洛桑联邦理工学院）；National Institute of Standards and Technology（美国国家标准与技术研究院）；GE Research（通用电气研究院）；Seoul National University（首尔国立大学）；University of California, San Diego（加州大学圣地亚哥分校）；Vanderbilt University（范德堡大学）；University of Michigan-Dearborn（密歇根大学迪尔伯恩分校）
As an emerging technology in the era of Industry 4.0, digital twin is gaining unprecedented attention because of its promise to further optimize process design, quality control, health monitoring, decision and policy making, and more, by comprehensively modeling the physical world as a group of interconnected digital models. In a two-part series of papers, we examine the fundamental role of different modeling techniques, twinning enabling technologies, and uncertainty quantification and optimization methods commonly used in digital twins. This first paper presents a thorough literature review …
The concept of a digital twin has exploded in popularity over the past decade, yet confusion around its plurality of definitions, its novelty as a new technology, and its practical applicability still exists, all despite numerous reviews, surveys, and press releases. The history of the term digital twin is explored, as well as its initial context in the fields of product life cycle management, asset maintenance, and equipment fleet management, operations, and planning. A definition for a minimally viable framework to utilize a digital twin is also provided based on seven essential elements. A …
Although digital twins have recently emerged as a clear alternative for reliable asset representations, most of the solutions and tools available for the development of digital twins are tailored to specific environments. Furthermore, achieving reliable digital twins often requires the orchestration of technologies and paradigms such as machine learning, the Internet of Things, and 3D visualization, which are rarely seamlessly aligned. In this paper, we present a generic framework for the development of effective digital twins combining some of the aforementioned areas. In this open framework,…
In this foundational expository article on the application of Causality Analysis in IoT, we establish the basic theory and algorithms for estimating Structural and Granger causality factors from measured multichannel sensor data (vector timeseries). Vector timeseries is modeled as a Structural Vector Autoregressive (SVAR) model; utilizing Kalman Filter and Independent Component Analysis (ICA) methods, Structural and generalized Granger causality factors are estimated. The estimated causal factors are presented as a Fence graph which we call Causal Digital Twin. Practical applications of Causal…
Massachusetts Institute of Technology（麻省理工学院）；The Jessara Group（杰萨拉集团）；University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）
A unifying mathematical formulation is needed to move from one-off digital twins built through custom implementations to robust digital twin implementations at scale. This work proposes a probabilistic graphical model as a formal mathematical representation of a digital twin and its associated physical asset. We create an abstraction of the asset-twin system as a set of coupled dynamical systems, evolving over time through their respective state-spaces and interacting via observed data and control inputs. The formal definition of this coupled system as a probabilistic graphical model enables u…
TwinLoop: Simulation-in-the-Loop Digital Twins for Online Multi-Agent Reinforcement Learning
Research Institute of Trustworthy Autonomous Systems, Southern University of Science and Technology（南方科技大学可信自主系统研究院）；Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology（南方科技大学计算机科学与工程系）；Department of Informatics and Telecommunications, University of Thessaly（色萨利大学信息与电信系）
University of Washington Bothell（华盛顿大学博塞尔分校）；Kaiser Permanente（凯撒医疗集团）
Recently there has been a surge of interest in developing Digital Twins of process flows in healthcare to better understand bottlenecks and areas of improvement. A key challenge is in the validation process. We describe a work in progress for a digital twin using an agent based simulation model for determining bed turnaround time for patients in hospitals. We employ a strategy using machine learning for validating the model and implementing sensitivity analysis.
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi（印度理工学院德里分校）；Swansea University（斯旺西大学）；Indian Institute of Science（印度科学学院）
Digital twin technology has significant promise, relevance and potential of widespread applicability in various industrial sectors such as aerospace, infrastructure and automotive. However, the adoption of this technology has been slower due to the lack of clarity for specific applications. A discrete damped dynamic system is used in this paper to explore the concept of a digital twin. As digital twins are also expected to exploit data and computational methods, there is a compelling case for the use of surrogate models in this context. Motivated by this synergy, we have explored the possibili…
Modeling forests using historical data allows for more accurately evolution analysis, thus providing an important basis for other studies. As a recognized and effective tool, remote sensing plays an important role in forestry analysis. We can use it to derive information about the forest, including tree type, coverage and canopy density. There are many forest time series modeling studies using statistic values, but few using remote sensing images. Image prediction digital twin is an implementation of digital twin, which aims to predict future images bases on historical data. In this paper, we …
Mitsubishi Electric Research Laboratories（三菱电机研究实验室）
Physics-informed dynamical system models form critical components of digital twins of the built environment. These digital twins enable the design of energy-efficient infrastructure, but must be properly calibrated to accurately reflect system behavior for downstream prediction and analysis. Dynamical system models of modern buildings are typically described by a large number of parameters and incur significant computational expenditure during simulations. To handle large-scale calibration of digital twins without exorbitant simulations, we propose ANP-BBO: a scalable and parallelizable batch-…
University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）；Oden Institute for Computational Engineering and Sciences（奥登计算工程与科学研究所）
This work develops a methodology for creating a data-driven digital twin from a library of physics-based models representing various asset states. The digital twin is updated using interpretable machine learning. Specifically, we use optimal trees---a recently developed scalable machine learning method---to train an interpretable data-driven classifier. Training data for the classifier are generated offline using simulated scenarios solved by the library of physics-based models. These data can be further augmented using experimental or other historical data. In operation, the classifier uses o…
This work introduces the concept of an autonomous cooking process based on Digital Twin method- ology. It proposes a hybrid approach of physics-based full order simulations followed by a data-driven system identification process with low errors. It makes faster-than-real-time simulations of Digital Twins feasible on a device level, without the need for cloud or high-performance computing. The concept is universally applicable to various physical processes.
Arizona State University（亚利桑那州立大学）；CCDC Army Research Laboratory（作战能力发展司令部陆军研究实验室）
We articulate the design imperatives for machine-learning based digital twins for nonlinear dynamical systems subject to external driving, which can be used to monitor the ``health'' of the target system and anticipate its future collapse. We demonstrate that, with single or parallel reservoir computing configurations, the digital twins are capable of challenging forecasting and monitoring tasks. Employing prototypical systems from climate, optics and ecology, we show that the digital twins can extrapolate the dynamics of the target system to certain parameter regimes never experienced before,…
Indian Institute of Technology Delhi（印度理工学院德里分校）；University of Glasgow（格拉斯哥大学）
A framework for creating and updating digital twins for dynamical systems from a library of physics-based functions is proposed. The sparse Bayesian machine learning is used to update and derive an interpretable expression for the digital twin. Two approaches for updating the digital twin are proposed. The first approach makes use of both the input and output information from a dynamical system, whereas the second approach utilizes output-only observations to update the digital twin. Both methods use a library of candidate functions representing certain physics to infer new perturbation terms …
This article presents a vision where \textit{real-time} digital twins of the physical wireless environments are continuously updated using multi-modal sensing data from the distributed infrastructure and user devices, and are used to make communication and sensing decisions. This vision is mainly enabled by the advances in precise 3D maps, multi-modal sensing, ray-tracing computations, and machine/deep learning. This article details this vision, explains the different approaches for constructing and utilizing these real-time digital twins, discusses the applications and open problems, and pres…
KTH Royal Institute of Technology（瑞典皇家理工学院）；RISE Research Institute of Sweden（瑞典RISE研究院）
Digital twins have recently gained significant interest in simulation, optimization, and predictive maintenance of Industrial Control Systems (ICS). Recent studies discuss the possibility of using digital twins for intrusion detection in industrial systems. Accordingly, this study contributes to a digital twin-based security framework for industrial control systems, extending its capabilities for simulation of attacks and defense mechanisms. Four types of process-aware attack scenarios are implemented on a standalone open-source digital twin of an industrial filling plant: command injection, n…
University of Oxford（牛津大学）；University of Cambridge（剑桥大学）
Digital Twin was introduced over a decade ago, as an innovative all-encompassing tool, with perceived benefits including real-time monitoring, simulation and forecasting. However, the theoretical framework and practical implementations of digital twins (DT) are still far from this vision. Although successful implementations exist, sufficient implementation details are not publicly available, therefore it is difficult to assess their effectiveness, draw comparisons and jointly advance the DT methodology. This work explores the various DT features and current approaches, the shortcomings and rea…
An easier and intuitive interface architecture is necessary for digital twin of plant factory. I suggest an immersive and interactive mixed reality interface for digital twin models of smart farming, for remote work rather than simulation of components. The environment is constructed with UI display and a streaming background scene, which is a real time scene taken from camera device located in the plant factory, processed with deformable neural radiance fields. User can monitor and control the remote plant factory facilities with HMD or 2D display based mixed reality environment. This paper a…
Multiple Sclerosis (MS) is a neurodegenerative disorder characterized by a complex set of clinical assessments. We use an unsupervised machine learning model called a Conditional Restricted Boltzmann Machine (CRBM) to learn the relationships between covariates commonly used to characterize subjects and their disease progression in MS clinical trials. A CRBM is capable of generating digital twins, which are simulated subjects having the same baseline data as actual subjects. Digital twins allow for subject-level statistical analyses of disease progression. The CRBM is trained using data from 23…
PIDT: Physics-Informed Digital Twin for Optical Fiber Parameter Estimation
Dept. of Electrical Engineering, Chalmers Univ. of Technology, Sweden（电气工程系，瑞典查尔姆斯理工大学）；Dept. of Microtechnology and Nanoscience, Chalmers Univ. of Technology, Sweden（微电子与纳米科技系，瑞典查尔姆斯理工大学）
