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arXiv 2303.05484stat.AP
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让我们来谈谈天气:基于聚类的天气预报准确性方法

Let's talk about the weather: A cluster-based approach to weather forecast accuracy

Jill Lundell, Brennan Bean, Juergen Symanzik

摘要:

对美国天气预报准确性相关特征的更好理解可以帮助气象学家开发更准确的预测,并可以帮助美国人更好地解释他们的日常天气预报。本文探讨了美国各地的时空特征与预测准确性的关系。我们根据天气和地理特征将美国分为六个天气区域,并分析每个天气区域内的预测准确性模式。然后,我们探讨这些天气区域内的气候特征和预测精度之间的关系。我们的结论是,预测误差的模式是密切相关的独特的气候特征,每个地区。

英文摘要:

Improved understanding of characteristics related to weather forecast accuracy in the United States may help meteorologists develop more accurate predictions and may help Americans better interpret their daily weather forecasts. This article examines how spatio-temporal characteristics across the United States relate to forecast accuracy. We cluster the United States into six weather regions based on weather and geographic characteristics and analyze the patterns in forecast accuracy within each weather region. We then explore the relationship between climate characteristics and forecast accuracy within these weather regions. We conclude that patterns in forecast errors are closely related to the unique climates that characterize each region.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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