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arXiv 2303.02563cs.CL

FinXABSA:通过基于方面的情感分析实现可解释金融分析

FinXABSA: Explainable Finance through Aspect-Based Sentiment Analysis

Asian Institute of Digital Finance(亚洲数字金融学院);National University of Singapore(新加坡国立大学);School of Computer Science and Engineering(计算机科学与工程学院);Nanyang Technological University(南洋理工大学);Institute of High Performance Computing (IHPC)(高性能计算研究所);Agency for Science, Technology and Research (A*STAR)(新加坡科技研究局);College of Design & Engineering(设计与工程学院)

Keane Ong, Wihan van der Heever, Ranjan Satapathy, Erik Cambria, Gianmarco Mengaldo

AI总结:

本文提出FinXABSA方法,结合基于方面的情感分析、皮尔逊相关、格兰杰因果和不确定性系数,揭示方面情感得分与股价间的统计关系,为AI驱动的金融决策提供可解释性。

摘要:

本文提出了一种金融分析可解释性的新方法,通过基于方面的情感分析、皮尔逊相关、格兰杰因果及不确定性系数,推导出具有金融可解释性的统计关系。该方法包括从金融文献中构建方面列表,并对社交媒体文本应用基于方面的情感分析,计算每个方面的情感得分。随后应用皮尔逊相关揭示方面情感得分与股价之间具有金融可解释性的关系。通过应用格兰杰因果来确定每个方面情感得分对股价的预测能力,使推导出的关系更加稳健。最后,通过评估方面情感得分与股价之间的不确定性系数得分,增加了一层可解释性。这使我们能够确定其情感得分对股价最具统计显著性的方面。与其他方法相比,我们的方法提供了对情感分析与股价关系更具信息量和准确的理解。具体而言,该方法能够解释基于方面的情感得分与股价之间的统计关系,从而为AI驱动的金融决策提供可解释性。

英文摘要:

This paper presents a novel approach for explainability in financial analysis by deriving financially-explainable statistical relationships through aspect-based sentiment analysis, Pearson correlation, Granger causality & uncertainty coefficient. The proposed methodology involves constructing an aspect list from financial literature and applying aspect-based sentiment analysis on social media text to compute sentiment scores for each aspect. Pearson correlation is then applied to uncover financially explainable relationships between aspect sentiment scores and stock prices. Findings for derived relationships are made robust by applying Granger causality to determine the forecasting ability of each aspect sentiment score for stock prices. Finally, an added layer of interpretability is added by evaluating uncertainty coefficient scores between aspect sentiment scores and stock prices. This allows us to determine the aspects whose sentiment scores are most statistically significant for stock prices. Relative to other methods, our approach provides a more informative and accurate understanding of the relationship between sentiment analysis and stock prices. Specifically, this methodology enables an interpretation of the statistical relationship between aspect-based sentiment scores and stock prices, which offers explainability to AI-driven financial decision-making.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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