In this paper, we introduce a conformal prediction method to construct prediction sets in a oneshot federated learning setting. More specifically, we define a quantile-of-quantiles estimator and prove that for any distribution, it is possible to output prediction sets with desired coverage in only one round of communication. To mitigate privacy issues, we also describe a locally differentially private version of our estimator. Finally, over a wide range of experiments, we show that our method returns prediction sets with coverage and length very similar to those obtained in a centralized setting. Overall, these results demonstrate that our method is particularly well-suited to perform conformal predictions in a one-shot federated learning setting.
Conformal Prediction for Federated Uncertainty Quantification Under Label Shift
Ecole Polytechnique(巴黎综合理工学院);Lagrange Mathematics and Computing Research Center(拉格朗日数学与计算研究中心);Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology(斯科尔科沃科学技术研究院);Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学);Technology Innovation Institute(技术创新研究院)
Efficient Federated Conformal Prediction with Group-Conditional Guarantee
IoT Thrust(物联网 thrust);The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州));Institute for Intelligent Networked Systems (INSI)(智能网络化系统研究所);Northeastern University London(伦敦东北大学);Department of ECE The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology HK SAR(电子工程系 香港科技大学香港特别行政区)
Partial Model Sharing Improves Byzantine Resilience in Federated Conformal Prediction
Department of Electronic Systems, Norwegian University of Science and Technology(挪威科学技术大学电子系统系);CSIRO’s Data61(澳大利亚数据61机构);Department of Information and Communications Engineering, Aalto University(艾尔沃斯大学信息与通信工程系)
Communication-Efficient Byzantine-Robust Federated Conformal Prediction via Partial Sharing
Department of Electronic Systems, Norwegian University of Science and Technology(电子系统系,挪威科学技术大学);Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation(澳大利亚联邦科学与工业研究组织);Department of Information and Communications Engineering, Aalto University(信息与通信工程系,艾尔托大学)
Efficient Conformal Prediction under Data Heterogeneity
Ecole Polytechnique(巴黎综合理工学院);Lagrange Mathematics and Computing Research Center(拉格朗日数学与计算研究中心);Skolkovo Institute of Science and Technology(斯科尔科沃科学技术研究所);Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学);HSE University(高等经济大学);Technology Innovation Institute(技术创新研究院)
Multi-Agent Conformal Prediction with Personalized Statistical Validity
Department of Electronic Systems(电子系统系);Aalborg University(奥尔堡大学);Department of Mathematical Sciences(数学科学系);Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse(图卢兹数学研究所);Université de Toulouse(图卢兹大学)
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health(哈佛陈曾熙公共卫生学院);University of Michigan(密歇根大学);Harvard Medical School(哈佛医学院);Brigham and Women’s Hospital(布莱根妇女医院)