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arXiv 2302.01693stat.ME
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死亡率表小区域估计方法的评价

Evaluation of small-area estimation methods for mortality schedules

Esther Denecke, Pavel Grigoriev, Roland Rau

摘要:

国家以下一级或各次人口的死亡率模式常常被用来审查人口的健康状况。然而,在小种群中,死亡人数是不稳定的。为了解决这个问题,人口学家提出了不同的方法,但目前还不清楚这些方法之间的关系。我们的目标是提供指导。首先,我们回顾了最近的人口统计学小区域方法的死亡率表。第二,我们评估三种方法,使用模拟数据。我们发现,有相当大的差异,在不同年龄和亚群/地区的性能,这种性能可以取决于选择纳入人口统计知识。

英文摘要:

Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal with this problem, demographers have proposed different methods but it is unclear how these methods relate to each other. We aim to provide guidance. First, we review recent demographic small-area methods for mortality schedules. Second, we evaluate three methodological approaches using simulated data. We show that there is considerable variability in the performance across ages and subpopulations/regions and that this performance can depend on the choice of incorporated demographic knowledge.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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