Understanding rock shear failure behavior is crucial to gain insights into slip-related geohazards such as rock avalanches, landslides, and earthquakes. However, descriptions of the progressive damage on the shear surface are still incomplete or ambiguous. In this study, we use the hybrid finite-discrete element method (FDEM) to simulate a shear experiment and obtain a detailed comprehension of shear induced progressive damage and the associated seismic activity. We built a laboratory fault model from high resolution surface scans and micro-CT imaging. Our results show that under quasi-static shear loading, the fault surface experiences local dynamic seismic activities. We found that the seismic activity is related to the stress concentration on interlocking asperities. This interlocking behavior (i) causes stress concentration at the region of contact that could reach the compressive strength, and (ii) produces tensile stress up to the tensile strength in the region adjacent to the contact area. Thus, different failure mechanisms and damage patterns including crushing and sub-vertical fracturing are observed on the rough surface. Asperity failure creates rapid local slips resulting in significant stress perturbations that alter the overall stress condition and may trigger the slip of adjacent critically stressed asperities. We found that the spatial distribution of the damaged asperities and the seismic activity is highly heterogeneous; regions with intense asperity interactions formed gouge material, while others exhibit minimal to no damage. These results emphasize the important role of surface roughness in controlling the overall shear behavior and the local dynamic seismic activities on faults.
The long-term erosion of steep landscapes is punctuated by dramatic erosional events that can remove significant amount of sediments within a time-scale shorter than a seismic cycle. However, the role of such large erosional events on seismicity is poorly understood. We use QDYN, a quasi-dynamic numerical model of earthquake cycles to investigate the effect of a large erosional event on seismicity. The progressive evacuation of landslide sediments is modelled by a transient normal stress decrease. We show that erosional events with a shorter duration compared with the duration of a seismic cyc…
Despite the enormous efforts towards searching for precursors, no precursors have exhibited real predictive power with respect to an earthquake thus far. Seismogenic locked segments that can accumulate adequate strain energy to cause major earthquakes are very heterogeneous and less brittle; progressive failures of the locked segments with these properties can produce an interesting seismic phenomenon: a characteristic earthquake and a sequence of smaller subsequent earthquakes (pre-shocks) always arise prior to another characteristic earthquake within a well-defined seismic zone and its curre…
Seismic vulnerability analysis of existing buildings requires basic information on their structural behaviour. The ambient vibrations of buildings and the modal parameters (frequencies, damping ration and modal shapes) that can be extracted from them naturally include the geometry and quality of material in the linear elastic part of their behaviour. The aim of this work is to use this modal information to help the vulnerability assessment. A linear dynamic modal model based on experimental modal parameters is proposed and the fragility curve corresponding to the damage state ?Slight? is built…
Prediction of the Kamchatka July 29, 2025, earthquake by the evolution of low-magnitude seismicity recovered using waveform cross-correlation at IMS seismic arrays
The 2016 Mw 7.0 Kumamoto Earthquake Sequence, Japan revisited: Insights from Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Seismicity Parameters
Farhangian University（法尔干大学）；Ankara University（安卡拉大学）；University of Beira Interior（贝拉内陆大学）；Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute (AORI), the University of Tokyo（东京大学大气海洋研究所）
The deformation of rocks is associated with microcracks nucleation and propagation, i.e. damage. The accumulation of damage and its spatial localization lead to the creation of a macroscale discontinuity, so-called "fault" in geological terms, and to the failure of the material, i.e. a dramatic decrease of the mechanical properties as strength and modulus. The damage process can be studied both statically by direct observation of thin sections and dynamically by recording acoustic waves emitted by crack propagation (acoustic emission). Here we first review such observations concerning geologic…
We propose a mechanical model for the behaviour of rocks based on progressive damage at the elementary scale and elastic interaction. It allows us to simulate several experimental observations: mechanical behaviour ranging from brittle to ductile, fractal structure of the damage, powerlaw distribution of the damage avalanches. These macroscopic properties are not incorporated at the elementary scale, but are the results of the interaction between elements. This emerging complexity permits us to consider the strain rock process as a complex system characterized by non-linear dynamics.
We model the progressive maturation of a heterogeneous mass towards a gravity-driven instability, characterized by the competition between frictional sliding and tension cracking, using array of slider blocks on an inclined basal surface, which interact via elastic-brittle springs. A realistic state- and rate-dependent friction law describes the block-surface interaction. The inner material damage occurs via stress corrosion. Three regimes, controlling the mass instability and its precursory behavior, are classified as a function of the ratio $T_c/T_f$ of two characteristic time scales associa…
The Mohr-Coulomb criterion is widely used in geosciences to relate the state of stress at failure to the observed orientation of the resulting faults. This relation is based on the assumption that the fault occurs along a plane that maximizes the Coulomb stress. Here, we test this hypothesis using an elastic, progressive damage model that implements the Mohr-Coulomb criterion at the local scale. We find that the orientation of the fault is not given by the Mohr-Coulomb criterion. Instead, for minimal disorder, it corresponds to the most unstable mode of damage in the model, which we determine …
We study how a stress perturbation generated by a mainshock affects a population of faults obeying a rate-state friction law. Depending on the model parameters and on the initial state, the fault exhibits aftershocks, slow earthquakes, or decaying afterslip. We found several regimes with slip rate decaying as a power-law of time, with different characteristic times and exponents. The complexity of the model makes it unrealistic to invert for the friction law parameters from afterslip data. We modeled afterslip measurements for the Southern California Superstition Hills earthquake using the com…
We investigate the approach to catastrophic failure in a model porous granular material undergoing uniaxial compression. A discrete element computational model is used to simulate both the micro-structure of the material and the complex dynamics and feedbacks involved in local fracturing and the production of crackling noise. Under strain-controlled loading micro-cracks initially nucleate in an uncorrelated way all over the sample. As loading proceeds the damage localizes into a narrow damage band inclined at 30-45 degrees to the load direction. Inside the damage band the material is crushed i…
Joint Analysis of Shannon and Tsallis Entropy and GRACE-FO driven Equivalent Water Height Anomalies for Pre- and Post-Rupture Monitoring: An Example of the 2023 Mw = 7.8 Kahramanmaraş Earthquake, Türkiye
Farhangian University（法尔干大学）；The University of Tokyo（东京大学）；Arak University of Technology（阿拉克理工大学）
