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arXiv 2301.04020q-fin.CPcs.AI
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Quant 4.0:利用自动化、可解释和知识驱动的人工智能进行工程量化投资

Quant 4.0: Engineering Quantitative Investment with Automated, Explainable and Knowledge-driven Artificial Intelligence

IDEA Research, International Digital Economy Academy(国际数字经济研究院(IDEA研究院));The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州));The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology(香港科技大学)

Jian Guo, Saizhuo Wang, Lionel M. Ni, Heung-Yeung Shum

摘要:

量化投资("quant“)是一个融合了金融工程、计算机科学、数学、统计学等的交叉学科领域,Quant在过去几十年中成为主流投资方法之一,经历了三代:Quant 1.0,通过数学建模进行交易,发现市场中错误定价的资产; Quant 2.0,将量化研究管道从小型“战略研讨会”转移到大型“阿尔法工厂”; Quant 3.0,应用深度学习技术来发现复杂的非线性定价规则。尽管深度学习在预测方面具有优势,但它依赖于极大的数据量和对“黑盒”神经网络模型的劳动密集型调整。为了解决这些局限性,在本文中,我们介绍了Quant 4.0,并为下一代Quant提供了一个工程视角。Quant 4.0有三个关键的差异化组件。首先,自动化AI将量化管道从传统的手工建模转变为最先进的自动化建模,实践“算法产生算法,模型构建模型,最终AI创建AI”的哲学。其次,可解释的人工智能开发了新技术,以更好地理解和解释机器学习黑盒做出的投资决策,并解释复杂和隐藏的风险敞口。第三,知识驱动的人工智能是数据驱动的人工智能(如深度学习)的补充,它将先验知识融入建模中,以改善投资决策,特别是量化价值投资。此外,我们还讨论了如何构建一个实践Quant 4.0概念的系统。最后,我们提出了量化技术面临的十个挑战性研究问题,并讨论了潜在的解决方案,研究方向和未来趋势。

英文摘要:

Quantitative investment (``quant'') is an interdisciplinary field combining financial engineering, computer science, mathematics, statistics, etc. Quant has become one of the mainstream investment methodologies over the past decades, and has experienced three generations: Quant 1.0, trading by mathematical modeling to discover mis-priced assets in markets; Quant 2.0, shifting quant research pipeline from small ``strategy workshops'' to large ``alpha factories''; Quant 3.0, applying deep learning techniques to discover complex nonlinear pricing rules. Despite its advantage in prediction, deep learning relies on extremely large data volume and labor-intensive tuning of ``black-box'' neural network models. To address these limitations, in this paper, we introduce Quant 4.0 and provide an engineering perspective for next-generation quant. Quant 4.0 has three key differentiating components. First, automated AI changes quant pipeline from traditional hand-craft modeling to the state-of-the-art automated modeling, practicing the philosophy of ``algorithm produces algorithm, model builds model, and eventually AI creates AI''. Second, explainable AI develops new techniques to better understand and interpret investment decisions made by machine learning black-boxes, and explains complicated and hidden risk exposures. Third, knowledge-driven AI is a supplement to data-driven AI such as deep learning and it incorporates prior knowledge into modeling to improve investment decision, in particular for quantitative value investing. Moreover, we discuss how to build a system that practices the Quant 4.0 concept. Finally, we propose ten challenging research problems for quant technology, and discuss potential solutions, research directions, and future trends.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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