48支球队参加的FIFA世界杯的双淘汰制
A double-elimination format for a 48-team FIFA World Cup
摘要：
我提出了一个双淘汰制的48支球队的国际足联世界杯，解决了许多问题提出的考虑格式与混合循环赛与3或4支球队和单淘汰策略。使用定量分析的方法，我表明，双淘汰制的格式是更公平，更防策略，并产生更多的竞争力和令人兴奋的比赛。它解决了3人组形式中可能存在的共谋问题和4人组形式中大量无趣游戏的问题。利用将在北美举行的2026年FIFA世界杯的限制，我证明了双淘汰制可以在35天的窗口内实施，只比目前的32支球队的形式多几天。我讨论了如何在未来的版本中调整格式以适应东道国的特殊性，以方便与会者和组织者的规划。
英文摘要：
I present a double-elimination format for the 48-team FIFA World Cup that solves many of the concerns raised about the considered formats with mixed round-robin with groups of 3 or 4 teams and single-elimination strategies. Using a quantitative analytics approach, I show that the double-elimination format is fairer, more strategy-proof, and produces more competitive and exciting matches. It solves the problems of possible collusion in the group-of-3 form and the high number of uninteresting games in the group-of-4 format. Using the restrictions of the 2026 FIFA World Cup to be held in North America, I demonstrate that the double-elimination format can be implemented in a 35 days window, just a few more than the current format for 32 teams. I discuss how the format can be adapted to the particularities of the host nations in future editions to facilitate attendees' and organizers' planning.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
