基于Agent的突发事件人群动力学模型--以残疾人为例
Agent-Based Model of Crowd Dynamics in Emergency Situations: A Focus on People With Disabilities
摘要:
当引入恐慌时,大群体中的人们的集体行为和紧急的人群动态可能会产生危险和灾难性的结果。这些事件可能是由紧急情况引起的,例如大型建筑物中的火灾或人们在密集区域匆忙时的踩踏效应。在本文中,我们将使用基于代理的建模方法来模拟不同的疏散事件,试图了解什么是最有效的方案。具体而言,我们将重点关注残疾人在紧急疏散期间如何受到选定参数的影响。我们选择ABM来模拟这一点,因为我们希望在我们的模型中为不同的“代理”指定特定的角色。具体来说,我们将重点关注残疾人对人群动态和最佳出口的影响。残疾人座位的位置是否会影响最后一个人离开大楼所需的时间?不良的标志对健全人和残疾人安全离开所需的时间有什么影响?如果有些人在恐慌状态下不知道其他出路,会发生什么?使用我们的基于代理的模型,我们将调查这些问题,同时也调整其他外部影响,如人群的密度,人们离开的速度,以及人们在模拟开始时的位置。
英文摘要:
Collective behavior of people in large groups and emergent crowd dynamics can have dangerous and disastrous results when panic is introduced. These events can be caused by emergency situations such as fires in a large building or a stampeding effect when people are rushing in a densely packed area. In this paper, we will use an agent-based modeling approach to simulate different evacuation events in an attempt to understand what is the most efficient scenario. Specifically, we will focus on how people with disabilities are impacted by chosen parameters during an emergency evacuation. We chose an ABM to simulate this because we want to specify specific roles for different "agents" in our model. Specifically, we will focus on the influence of people with disabilities on crowd dynamics and the optimal exits. Does the placement of seating for people with disabilities affect the time it takes for the last person to exit the building? What effect does poor signage have on the time it takes for able-bodied and people with disabilities to exit safely? What happens if some people do not know about alternative exits in their panicked state? Using our agent-based model, we will investigate these questions while also adjusting other outside effects such as the density of the crowd, the speed at which people exit, and the location of people at the start of the simulation.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。