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arXiv 2210.16111physics.ao-ph
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根据对39年来NASA POWER数据的统计分析,对阿曼苏丹国Al Buraimi的global warming进行评估,并根据气象测量测试NASA POWER的可靠性

Assessment of global warming in Al Buraimi, sultanate of Oman based on statistical analysis of NASA POWER data over 39 years, and testing the reliability of NASA POWER against meteorological measurements

Osama A. Marzouk

摘要:

我们对地面以上2米处的气温及其范围的历史数据进行了一些统计分析方法,这些数据由NASA的数据库POWER报告,该数据库代表全球能源预测。分析点是位于阿曼苏丹国西北部的Al Buraimi Governate的Buraimi大学,靠近与阿拉伯联合酋长国(阿联酋)的边界。数据的形式是一年中每天的值。分析的数据涵盖了从1981年1月3日(最早可用日期)到2019年12月31日(最晚可用年底)的时间段。统计分析方法包括:简单线性回归,F检验:方差双样本,方差分析(ANOVA):单因素,t检验:两样本假设等方差(合并)。结果表明,当地2米空气温度的平均值从1980年的估计值27.4 °C开始,以每年约0.039 °C的速度上升。对于2米空气温度的标准差及其范围的平均值和标准差;虽然线性回归分析表明随时间下降,但回归系数不显著。另一方面,对1981、1985、1990、1995、2000、2005、2010、2015、2019年9年的方差分析表明,它们之间总体上存在统计差异,对于2米气温及其范围。在这项工作的第二部分中,NASA POWER数据的地面以上2米处的空气温度,大气压力,地面以上2米处的相对湿度和每日降水量与位于阿曼苏丹国东北部Al Dakhiliyah省的Manah气象站记录的传感器测量值进行了比较,2011年,2012年,2015年,和2016年。

英文摘要:

We performed a number of statistical analysis methods on the historical data for the air temperature at 2 m above the ground and its range, as reported by the database of NASA known as POWER, which stands for Prediction Of Worldwide Energy Resources. The point of analysis is the University of Buraimi, located in Al Buraimi Governate, in the Northwest of the Sultanate of Oman, near its border with United Arab Emirates (UAE). The data is in the form of a value per day, for every day in the year. The data analyzed span the period from January 3rd, 1981 (earliest day available) to December 31st, 2019 (latest end-of-year available). The statistical analysis methods include: simple linear regression, F-test: two-sample for variances, analysis of variance (ANOVA): single factor, and t-test: two-sample assuming equal variances (pooled). The results show that the mean of the local 2-meter air temperature is increasing at a rate of about 0.039 °C per year, starting from an estimated value of 27.4 °C in 1980. For the standard deviation of the 2-meter air temperature, and the mean and standard deviation of its range; although a linear regression analysis suggests a decline over time, the regression coefficient is not significant. On the other hand, the analysis of variance for the 9 years 1981, 1985, 1990, 1995, 2000, 2005, 2010, 2015, 2019 suggests existence of statistical difference among them collectively, for the 2-meter air temperature and its range. In the second part of this work, NASA POWER data for the air temperature at 2 m above the ground, the atmospheric pressure, the relative humidity at 2 m above the ground, and the daily precipitation were compared with recorded sensor measurements at Manah meteorological station, located in Al Dakhiliyah Governate, in the Northeast of the Sultanate of Oman over all days of years 2011, 2012, 2015, and 2016.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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