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arXiv 2209.09540astro-ph.EPphysics.ao-ph
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从随机天气到假定的混沌地球系统

From the Stochastic Weather to a Putative Chaotic Earth System

Orfeu Bertolami

摘要:

在这份简短的报告中,我们讨论了决定天气条件的物理参数的连续变化如何导致长期气候变率。这种天气类型的变化是对连续随机短周期天气激发的响应,这些天气激发在海洋-大气-冰冻圈-陆地系统(地球系统)中留下了印记。由于人类世的地球系统是由人类活动主导的,因此它对人类活动的强度和变化率作出了反应。因此,我们认为,在一个特定的地球系统模型的背景下,这种变化率可能承认一个混沌型的行为。

英文摘要:

In this brief report we discuss how continuous changes on the physical parameters that determine the weather conditions may lead to long term climate variability. This variability of the weather patterns are a response to continuous random short period weather excitations that are imprinted in the ocean-atmosphere-cryosphere-land system, the Earth System. Given that Earth System is, in the Anthropocene, dominated by the human action, it responds to the intensity and the rate of change of the humankind activities. Thus, we argue, in the context of a specific model of the Earth System, that this rate of change may admit a chaotic-type behaviour.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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