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arXiv 2207.02458q-fin.CP
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基于蒙特卡罗仿真的强化学习投资组合管理框架

Reinforcement Learning Portfolio Manager Framework with Monte Carlo Simulation

Jungyu Ahn, Sungwoo Park, Jiwoon Kim, Ju-hong Lee

摘要:

使用强化学习的资产配置具有目标设定的灵活性和各种信息的利用等优点。然而,现有的资产配置方法在解决资产配置问题时没有考虑以下观点。第一,国家设计没有考虑投资组合管理和金融市场的特点。第二,模型过度拟合。第三,不考虑金融时间序列数据统计结构的模型训练设计。为了解决现有的资产配置方法使用强化学习的问题,提出了一种新的强化学习资产配置方法。首先,由模型管理的投资组合的状态被认为是强化学习代理的状态。第二,使用蒙特卡罗仿真数据来增加训练数据的复杂度以防止模型过拟合。这些数据可能具有不同的模式,这可能会增加数据的复杂性。第三,考虑金融市场的各种统计结构来创建蒙特卡罗模拟数据。我们将金融市场的统计结构定义为构成金融市场的资产的相关矩阵。我们的实验表明,我们的方法优于基准在几个测试间隔。

英文摘要:

Asset allocation using reinforcement learning has advantages such as flexibility in goal setting and utilization of various information. However, existing asset allocation methods do not consider the following viewpoints in solving the asset allocation problem. First, State design without considering portfolio management and financial market characteristics. Second, Model Overfitting. Third, Model training design without considering the statistical structure of financial time series data. To solve the problem of the existing asset allocation method using reinforcement learning, we propose a new reinforcement learning asset allocation method. First, the state of the portfolio managed by the model is considered as the state of the reinforcement learning agent. Second, Monte Carlo simulation data are used to increase training data complexity to prevent model overfitting. These data can have different patterns, which can increase the complexity of the data. Third, Monte Carlo simulation data are created considering various statistical structures of financial markets. We define the statistical structure of the financial market as the correlation matrix of the assets constituting the financial market. We show experimentally that our method outperforms the benchmark at several test intervals.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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