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arXiv 2206.08705cs.HCcs.LG
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可解释性的增益是最优性的损失?--政府如何影响决策

Explainability's Gain is Optimality's Loss? -- How Explanations Bias Decision-making

Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University(伊拉斯姆斯大学鹿特丹管理学院);Nova School of Business and Economics, Universidade Nova de Lisboa(里斯本新大学诺瓦商业与经济学院)

Charles Wan, Rodrigo Belo, Leid Zejnilović

摘要:

组织中的决策是关于评估备选方案并选择最适合组织目标的方案。在某种程度上,备选方案的评估可以被制定为具有适当度量的预测任务,机器学习算法越来越多地被用于提高该过程的效率。解释有助于促进算法和人类决策者之间的沟通,使后者更容易根据前者的预测进行解释和决策。然而,基于因果关系的解释的因果模型的语义,导致泄漏从决策者的先验信念。我们的研究结果从实地实验经验证明,这如何导致确认偏见和不同的影响决策者的信心的预测。这种差异可能导致次优和有偏见的决策结果。

英文摘要:

Decisions in organizations are about evaluating alternatives and choosing the one that would best serve organizational goals. To the extent that the evaluation of alternatives could be formulated as a predictive task with appropriate metrics, machine learning algorithms are increasingly being used to improve the efficiency of the process. Explanations help to facilitate communication between the algorithm and the human decision-maker, making it easier for the latter to interpret and make decisions on the basis of predictions by the former. Feature-based explanations' semantics of causal models, however, induce leakage from the decision-maker's prior beliefs. Our findings from a field experiment demonstrate empirically how this leads to confirmation bias and disparate impact on the decision-maker's confidence in the predictions. Such differences can lead to sub-optimal and biased decision outcomes.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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