We study the estimation and concentration on its expectation of the probability to observe data further than a specified distance from a given iid sample in a metric space. The problem extends the classical problem of estimation of the missing mass in discrete spaces. We give some estimators for the conditional missing mass and show that estimation of the expected missing mass is difficult in general. Conditions on the distribution, under which the Good-Turing estimator and the conditional missing mass concentrate on their expectations are identified. Applications to anomaly detection, coding, the Wasserstein distance between true and empirical measure and simple learning bounds are sketched.
We revisit the problem of \emph{missing mass concentration}, developing a new method of estimating concentration of heterogenic sums, in spirit of celebrated Rosenthal's inequality. As a result we slightly improve the state-of-art bounds due to Ben-Hamou at al., and simplify the proofs.
An infinite urn scheme is defined by a probability mass function $(p_j)_{j\geq1}$ over positive integers. A random allocation consists of a sample of $N$ independent drawings according to this probability distribution where $N$ may be deterministic or Poisson-distributed. This paper is concerned with occupancy counts, that is with the number of symbols with $r$ or at least $r$ occurrences in the sample, and with the missing mass that is the total probability of all symbols that do not occur in the sample. Without any further assumption on the sampling distribution, these random quantities are …
We consider the following data perturbation model, where the covariates incur multiplicative errors. For two $n \times m$ random matrices $U, X$, we denote by $U \circ X$ the Hadamard or Schur product, which is defined as $(U \circ X)_{ij} = (U_{ij}) \cdot (X_{ij})$. In this paper, we study the subgaussian matrix variate model, where we observe the matrix variate data $X$ through a random mask $U$: $$ {\mathcal X} = U \circ X \; \; \; \text{ where} \; \; \;X = B^{1/2} {\mathbb{Z}} A^{1/2}, $$ where ${\mathbb{Z}}$ is a random matrix with independent subgaussian entries, and $U$ is a mask matrix…
The missing mass refers to the probability of elements not observed in a sample, and since the work of Good and Turing during WWII, has been studied extensively in many areas including ecology, linguistic, networks and information theory. This work determines what is the \emph{maximal variance of the missing mass}, for any sample and alphabet sizes. The result helps in understanding the missing mass concentration properties.
Barycenters (aka Fréchet means) were introduced in statistics in the 1940's and popularized in the fields of shape statistics and, later, in optimal transport and matrix analysis. They provide the most natural extension of linear averaging to non-Euclidean geometries, which is perhaps the most basic and widely used tool in data science. In various setups, their asymptotic properties, such as laws of large numbers and central limit theorems, have been established, but their non-asymptotic behaviour is still not well understood. In this work, we prove finite sample concentration inequalities (na…
We give tight lower and upper bounds on the expected missing mass for distributions over finite and countably infinite spaces. An essential characterization of the extremal distributions is given. We also provide an extension to totally bounded metric spaces that may be of independent interest.
Feature models are popular in machine learning and they have been recently used to solve many unsupervised learning problems. In these models every observation is endowed with a finite set of features, usually selected from an infinite collection $(F_{j})_{j\geq 1}$. Every observation can display feature $F_{j}$ with an unknown probability $p_{j}$. A statistical problem inherent to these models is how to estimate, given an initial sample, the conditional expected number of hitherto unseen features that will be displayed in a future observation. This problem is usually referred to as the missin…
We investigate the problem of deriving posterior concentration rates under different loss functions in nonparametric Bayes. We first provide a lower bound on posterior coverages of shrinking neighbourhoods that relates the metric or loss under which the shrinking neighbourhood is considered, and an intrinsic pre-metric linked to frequentist separation rates. In the Gaussian white noise model, we construct feasible priors based on a spike and slab procedure reminiscent of wavelet thresholding that achieve adaptive rates of contraction under $L^2$ or $L^{\infty}$ metrics when the underlying para…
A sample covariance matrix $\boldsymbol{S}$ of completely observed data is the key statistic in a large variety of multivariate statistical procedures, such as structured covariance/precision matrix estimation, principal component analysis, and testing of equality of mean vectors. However, when the data are partially observed, the sample covariance matrix from the available data is biased and does not provide valid multivariate procedures. To correct the bias, a simple adjustment method called inverse probability weighting (IPW) has been used in previous research, yielding the IPW estimator. T…
The performance analysis of random vector channels, particularly multiple-input-multiple-output (MIMO) channels, has largely been established in the asymptotic regime of large channel dimensions, due to the analytical intractability of characterizing the exact distribution of the objective performance metrics. This paper exposes a new non-asymptotic framework that allows the characterization of many canonical MIMO system performance metrics to within a narrow interval under moderate-to-large channel dimensionality, provided that these metrics can be expressed as a separable function of the sin…
Estimation and Inference of the Win Ratio for Two Hierarchical Endpoints Subject to Censoring and Missing Data
Duke Clinical Research Institute（杜克临床研究所）；Department of Biostatistics and Bioinformatics, Duke University（杜克大学生物统计与生物信息学系）；Department of Statistics, North Carolina State University（北卡罗来纳州立大学统计学系）
