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arXiv 2205.03219cs.AI
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基于强化学习的目标导向次优活动推荐

Goal-Oriented Next Best Activity Recommendation using Reinforcement Learning

IBM Research AI(IBM人工智能研究院);IIIT Hyderabad(海得拉巴国际信息技术学院)

Prerna Agarwal, Avani Gupta, Renuka Sindhgatta, Sampath Dechu

摘要:

为一个正在进行的案例推荐一系列活动需要这些建议符合基本的业务流程,并满足完成时间或流程结果的性能目标。现有的下一个活动预测工作可以预测未来的活动,但无法保证预测符合或达到目标。因此,我们提出了一个目标导向的下一个最佳活动建议。我们提出的框架使用深度学习模型来预测下一个最佳活动和给定活动的目标的估计值。强化学习方法基于可能满足一个或多个目标的估计来探索活动的序列。我们进一步解决了现实世界中的多个目标的问题,通过引入额外的奖励函数来平衡推荐活动的结果并满足目标。我们证明了所提出的方法的有效性在四个现实世界的数据集具有不同的特点。结果表明,从我们提出的方法的建议优于目标满意度和一致性相比,现有的国家的最先进的下一个最好的活动推荐技术。

英文摘要:

Recommending a sequence of activities for an ongoing case requires that the recommendations conform to the underlying business process and meet the performance goal of either completion time or process outcome. Existing work on next activity prediction can predict the future activity but cannot provide guarantees of the prediction being conformant or meeting the goal. Hence, we propose a goal-oriented next best activity recommendation. Our proposed framework uses a deep learning model to predict the next best activity and an estimated value of a goal given the activity. A reinforcement learning method explores the sequence of activities based on the estimates likely to meet one or more goals. We further address a real-world problem of multiple goals by introducing an additional reward function to balance the outcome of a recommended activity and satisfy the goal. We demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method on four real-world datasets with different characteristics. The results show that the recommendations from our proposed approach outperform in goal satisfaction and conformance compared to the existing state-of-the-art next best activity recommendation techniques.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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