世界-地球系统复原力的概念化：探索人类安全和公正运作空间的转型途径
Conceptualizing World-Earth System resilience: Exploring transformation pathways towards a safe and just operating space for humanity
摘要：
我们开发了一个框架，在其中概念化世界地球系统的弹性。我们关于世界-地球系统复原力的概念强调，需要超越关于复原力的吸引力盆地概念，因为我们不是在一个我们可以停留的盆地中。我们正走在通往一个新盆地的轨道上，我们必须避免落入不受欢迎的盆地。因此，我们把重点放在“路径约束”，即路径的相对数量，使我们能够从我们现在所占据的过渡操作空间，因为我们离开全新世盆地，在人类世的一个安全和公正的操作空间。我们开发了一个数学模型来正式化这一概念，并展示了地球系统弹性（生物物理过程）和世界系统弹性（社会过程）之间的相互作用如何影响路径弹性。我们的研究结果表明，建立地球系统的弹性可能是我们达到安全和公正的操作空间的唯一机会。我们还说明了世界系统动态的重要性，显示公平的概念加上区域不平等影响路径弹性。
英文摘要：
We develop a framework within which to conceptualize World-Earth System resilience. Our notion of World-Earth System resilience emphasizes the need to move beyond the basin of attraction notion of resilience as we are not in a basin we can stay in. We are on a trajectory to a new basin and we have to avoid falling into undesirable basins. We thus focus on `pathway resilience', i.e. the relative number of paths that allow us to move from the transitional operating space we occupy now as we leave the Holocene basin to a safe and just operating space in the Anthropocene. We develop a mathematical model to formalize this conceptualization and demonstrate how interactions between earth system resilience (biophysical processes) and world system resilience (social processes) impact pathway resilience. Our findings show that building earth system resilience is probably our only chance to reach a safe and just operating space. We also illustrate the importance of world system dynamics by showing how the notion of fairness coupled with regional inequality affects pathway resilience.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
