需求增长对印度电力部门脱碳的影响以及储能的作用
Impact of demand growth on decarbonizing India's electricity sector and the role for energy storage
摘要：
全球能源部门脱碳的努力取决于新兴市场能源生产和终端使用的技术选择，例如印度，空调预计将成为电力需求增长的主要推动力。在这里，我们使用一个综合的需求-供应框架来量化需求增长和时间模式对长期电力系统演变的影响。在预计的可再生能源和锂离子储能成本下降的情况下，我们的供需模型指出，到2030年，可再生能源将为满足印度的年度电力需求做出巨大贡献（46-67%）。然而，如果没有适当的政策措施来逐步淘汰现有的煤炭发电，即使如此迅速地采用可再生能源，加上一个或多个技术杠杆，如低成本储能和需求方措施，如制定积极的交流效率标准和部署配电级储能，与2020年相比，2050年的二氧化碳年排放量不足以减少，因为这一时期预计电力需求的增长率相对较高。
英文摘要：
Global energy sector decarbonization efforts are contingent on technology choices for energy production and end-use in emerging markets such as India, where air conditioning is expected to be a major driver for electricity demand growth. Here, we use an integrated demand-supply framework to quantify the impacts of demand growth and temporal patterns on long-term electricity system evolution. Under projected renewables and Li-ion storage cost declines, our supply-demand modeling points to renewables contributing substantially (46-67%) to meet annual electricity demand in India by 2030. However, without appropriate policy measures to phase out existing coal generation, even such rapid adoption of renewable energy coupled with one or more technological levers such as low-cost energy storage and demand-side measures such as setting aggressive AC efficiency standards and deploying distribution level storage, are insufficient to reduce annual CO2 emissions in 2050 vs. 2020 because of the relatively higher growth rate of projected electricity demand over this period.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
