Discovering Inductive Bias with Gibbs Priors: A Diagnostic Tool for Approximate Bayesian Inference

PAC-Bayesian inductive and transductive learning

We present here a PAC-Bayesian point of view on adaptive supervised classification. Using convex analysis, we show how to get local measures of the complexity of the classification model involving the relative entropy of posterior distributions with respect to Gibbs posterior measures. We discuss relative bounds, comparing two classification rules, to show how the margin assumption of Mammen and Tsybakov can be replaced with some empirical measure of the covariance structure of the classification model. We also show how to associate to any posterior distribution an {\em effective temperature} …

Discovering Symbolic Models from Deep Learning with Inductive Biases

We develop a general approach to distill symbolic representations of a learned deep model by introducing strong inductive biases. We focus on Graph Neural Networks (GNNs). The technique works as follows: we first encourage sparse latent representations when we train a GNN in a supervised setting, then we apply symbolic regression to components of the learned model to extract explicit physical relations. We find the correct known equations, including force laws and Hamiltonians, can be extracted from the neural network. We then apply our method to a non-trivial cosmology example-a detailed dark…

A Non-Parametric Bayesian Method for Inferring Hidden Causes

We present a non-parametric Bayesian approach to structure learning with hidden causes. Previous Bayesian treatments of this problem define a prior over the number of hidden causes and use algorithms such as reversible jump Markov chain Monte Carlo to move between solutions. In contrast, we assume that the number of hidden causes is unbounded, but only a finite number influence observable variables. This makes it possible to use a Gibbs sampler to approximate the distribution over causal structures. We evaluate the performance of both approaches in discovering hidden causes in simulated data, …

Pac-Bayesian Supervised Classification: The Thermodynamics of Statistical Learning

This monograph deals with adaptive supervised classification, using tools borrowed from statistical mechanics and information theory, stemming from the PACBayesian approach pioneered by David McAllester and applied to a conception of statistical learning theory forged by Vladimir Vapnik. Using convex analysis on the set of posterior probability measures, we show how to get local measures of the complexity of the classification model involving the relative entropy of posterior distributions with respect to Gibbs posterior measures. We then discuss relative bounds, comparing the generalization e…

基于贝叶斯核化张量回归的可扩展时空变系数建模

Scalable Spatiotemporally Varying Coefficient Modelling with Bayesian Kernelized Tensor Regression

针对时空变系数模型计算成本高难以大规模应用的问题，提出贝叶斯核化张量回归框架，结合低秩张量分解与高斯过程先验，搭配高效MCMC算法，在合成和真实数据上实现了更优的模型估计性能与效率。

Scaling up Dynamic Topic Models

Dynamic topic models (DTMs) are very effective in discovering topics and capturing their evolution trends in time series data. To do posterior inference of DTMs, existing methods are all batch algorithms that scan the full dataset before each update of the model and make inexact variational approximations with mean-field assumptions. Due to a lack of a more scalable inference algorithm, despite the usefulness, DTMs have not captured large topic dynamics. This paper fills this research void, and presents a fast and parallelizable inference algorithm using Gibbs Sampling with Stochastic Gradient…