Bayesian Optimisation for Active Monitoring of Air Pollution
Sigrid Passano Hellan, Christopher G. Lucas, Nigel H. Goddard
备注：
Presented at AAAI 2022 in the Special Track on AI for Social Impact. Updates: - Small corrections to references - Correction that baselines use gradient-based optimisation, not gradient descent - Correction to data preprocessing for LAQN data - Correction that the kernel signal variances were modelled internally, not their square roots - Correction to iteration for Table 3 (31, not 30)
Air pollution is one of the leading causes of mortality globally, resulting in millions of deaths each year. Efficient monitoring is important to measure exposure and enforce legal limits. New low-cost sensors can be deployed in greater numbers and in more varied locations, motivating the problem of efficient automated placement. Previous work suggests Bayesian optimisation is an appropriate method, but only considered a satellite data set, with data aggregated over all altitudes. It is ground-level pollution, that humans breathe, which matters most. We improve on those results using hierarchical models and evaluate our models on urban pollution data in London to show that Bayesian optimisation can be successfully applied to the problem.
School of Informatics（信息学院）；University of Edinburgh（爱丁堡大学）
Air pollution is one of the most important causes of mortality in the world. Monitoring air pollution is useful to learn more about the link between health and pollutants, and to identify areas for intervention. Such monitoring is expensive, so it is important to place sensors as efficiently as possible. Bayesian optimisation has proven useful in choosing sensor locations, but typically relies on kernel functions that neglect the statistical structure of air pollution, such as the tendency of pollution to propagate in the prevailing wind direction. We describe two new wind-informed kernels and…
African Institute for Mathematical Sciences（非洲数学科学研究所）；Institute of Applied Statistics, University of Burundi（布隆迪大学应用统计研究所）；Ecole Normale Superieur de Bujumbura（布琼布拉高等师范学院）
Atmospheric pollution remains one of the major public health threat worldwide with an estimated 7 millions deaths annually. In Africa, rapid urbanization and poor transport infrastructure are worsening the problem. In this paper, we have analysed spatio-temporal variations of PM2.5 across different geographical regions in Africa. The West African region remains the most affected by the high levels of pollution with a daily average of 40.856 $μg/m^3$ in some cities like Lagos, Abuja and Bamako. In East Africa, Uganda is reporting the highest pollution level with a daily average concentration of…
Avinashilingam Institute of Home Science and Higher Education for Women（阿维纳西林加姆妇女家庭科学与高等教育学院）
Air pollution is a vital issue emerging from the uncontrolled utilization of traditional energy sources as far as developing countries are concerned. Hence, ingenious air pollution forecasting methods are indispensable to minimize the risk. To that end, this paper proposes an Internet of Things (IoT) enabled system for monitoring and controlling air pollution in the cloud computing environment. A method called Linear Regression and Multiclass Support Vector (LR-MSV) IoT-based Air Pollution Forecast is proposed to monitor the air quality data and the air quality index measurement to pave the wa…
Air pollution is a major global environmental health threat, in particular for people who live or work near pollution sources. Areas adjacent to pollution sources often have high ambient pollution concentrations, and those areas are commonly referred to as air pollution hotspots. Detecting and characterizing pollution hotspots are of great importance for air quality management, but are challenging due to the high spatial and temporal variability of air pollutants. In this work, we explore the use of mobile sensing data (i.e., air quality sensors installed on vehicles) to detect pollution hotsp…
Recently, air pollution is one of the most concerns for big cities. Predicting air quality for any regions and at any time is a critical requirement of urban citizens. However, air pollution prediction for the whole city is a challenging problem. The reason is, there are many spatiotemporal factors affecting air pollution throughout the city. Collecting as many of them could help us to forecast air pollution better. In this research, we present many spatiotemporal datasets collected over Seoul city in Korea, which is currently much suffered by air pollution problem as well. These datasets incl…
Tsinghua University（清华大学）；Chinese Academy of Environmental Planning（中国环境规划院）；Tsinghua Shenzhen International Graduate School, Tsinghua University（清华大学深圳国际研究生院）
Air pollution has altered the Earth radiation balance, disturbed the ecosystem and increased human morbidity and mortality. Accordingly, a full-coverage high-resolution air pollutant dataset with timely updates and historical long-term records is essential to support both research and environmental management. Here, for the first time, we develop a near real-time air pollutant database known as Tracking Air Pollution in China (TAP, tapdata.org) that combines information from multiple data sources, including ground measurements, satellite retrievals, dynamically updated emission inventories, op…
Reducing air pollution, such as CO2 and PM2.5 emissions, is one of the most important issues for many countries worldwide. Selecting an environmentally friendly transport mode can be an effective approach of individuals to reduce air pollution in daily life. In this study, we propose a method to simulate the effectiveness of an eco-friendly transport mode selection for reducing air pollution by using map search logs. We formulate the transport mode selection as a combinatorial optimization problem with the constraints regarding the total amount of CO2 emissions as an example of air pollution a…
Air pollution is a major driver of climate change. Anthropogenic emissions from the burning of fossil fuels for transportation and power generation emit large amounts of problematic air pollutants, including Greenhouse Gases (GHGs). Despite the importance of limiting GHG emissions to mitigate climate change, detailed information about the spatial and temporal distribution of GHG and other air pollutants is difficult to obtain. Existing models for surface-level air pollution rely on extensive land-use datasets which are often locally restricted and temporally static. This work proposes a deep l…
University of Delaware（特拉华大学）；PingAn Technology（平安科技）；South China University of Technology（华南理工大学）
Air pollution poses a serious threat to human health as well as economic development around the world. To meet the increasing demand for accurate predictions for air pollutions, we proposed a Deep Inferential Spatial-Temporal Network to deal with the complicated non-linear spatial and temporal correlations. We forecast three air pollutants (i.e., PM2.5, PM10 and O3) of monitoring stations over the next 48 hours, using a hybrid deep learning model consists of inferential predictor (inference for regions without air pollution readings), spatial predictor (capturing spatial correlations using CNN…
African Institute for Mathematical Sciences, Rwanda（卢旺达非洲数学科学研究所）；Institute of Applied Statistics, University of Burundi（布隆迪大学应用统计研究所）
Air pollution is a major public health problem worldwide although the lack of data is a global issue for most low and middle income countries. Ambient air pollution in the form of fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exceeds the World Health Organization guidelines in Rwanda with a daily average of around 42.6 microgram per meter cube. Monitoring and mitigation strategies require an expensive investment in equipment to collect pollution data. Low-cost sensor technology and machine learning methods have appeared as an alternative solution to get reliable information for decision making. This paper a…
AirCast: Improving Air Pollution Forecasting Through Multi-Variable Data Alignment
Wageningen University and Research（瓦赫宁根大学与研究中心）；Mohamed bin Zayed University of AI（穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）；Australian National University（澳大利亚国立大学）；Linköping University（林雪平大学）；Weizmann Institute of Science（魏茨曼科学研究所）
Air quality has major impact on a country's socio-economic position and identifying major air pollution sources is at the heart of tackling the issue. Spatially and temporally distributed air quality data acquisition across a country as varied as India has been a challenge to such analysis. The launch of the Sentinel-5P satellite has helped in the observation of a wider variety of air pollutants than measured before at a global scale on a daily basis. In this chapter, spatio-temporal multi pollutant data retrieved from Sentinel-5P satellite is used to cluster states as well as districts in Ind…
University of California Davis（加州大学戴维斯分校）；Academia Sinica（中央研究院）
Analyzing air pollution data is challenging as there are various analysis focuses from different aspects: feature (what), space (where), and time (when). As in most geospatial analysis problems, besides high-dimensional features, the temporal and spatial dependencies of air pollution induce the complexity of performing analysis. Machine learning methods, such as dimensionality reduction, can extract and summarize important information of the data to lift the burden of understanding such a complicated environment. In this paper, we present a methodology that utilizes multiple machine learning m…
This is a relevant problem because the design of most cities prioritizes the use of motorized vehicles, which has degraded air quality in recent years, having a negative effect on urban health. Modeling, predicting, and forecasting ambient air pollution is an important way to deal with this issue because it would be helpful for decision-makers and urban city planners to understand the phenomena and to take solutions. In general, data-driven methods for modeling, predicting, and forecasting outdoor pollution requires an important amount of data, which may limit their accuracy. In order to deal …
Air pollution has long been a serious environmental health challenge, especially in metropolitan cities, where air pollutant concentrations are exacerbated by the street canyon effect and high building density. Whilst accurately monitoring and forecasting air pollution are highly crucial, existing data-driven models fail to fully address the complex interaction between air pollution and urban dynamics. Our Deep-AIR, a novel hybrid deep learning framework that combines a convolutional neural network with a long short-term memory network, aims to address this gap to provide fine-grained city-wid…
Air pollution monitoring platforms play a very important role in preventing and mitigating the effects of pollution. Recent advances in the field of graph signal processing have made it possible to describe and analyze air pollution monitoring networks using graphs. One of the main applications is the reconstruction of the measured signal in a graph using a subset of sensors. Reconstructing the signal using information from sensor neighbors can help improve the quality of network data, examples are filling in missing data with correlated neighboring nodes, or correcting a drifting sensor with …
Instituto Universitario de Matemática Pura y Aplicada, Universitat Politécnica de Valencia（瓦伦西亚理工大学纯数学与应用数学大学研究所）；FLOW, Engineering Mechanics, KTH Royal Institute of Technology（瑞典皇家理工学院工程力学系FLOW实验室）
The sustainability of urban environments is an increasingly relevant problem. Air pollution plays a key role in the degradation of the environment as well as the health of the citizens exposed to it. In this chapter we provide a review of the methods available to model air pollution, focusing on the application of machine-learning methods. In fact, machine-learning methods have proved to importantly increase the accuracy of traditional air-pollution approaches while limiting the development cost of the models. Machine-learning tools have opened new approaches to study air pollution, such as fl…
Emory University（埃默里大学）；Pomona College（波莫纳学院）；Rollins School of Public Health（罗林斯公共卫生学院）
Real-time air pollution monitoring is a valuable tool for public health and environmental surveillance. In recent years, there has been a dramatic increase in air pollution forecasting and monitoring research using artificial neural networks (ANNs). Most of the prior work relied on modeling pollutant concentrations collected from ground-based monitors and meteorological data for long-term forecasting of outdoor ozone, oxides of nitrogen, and PM2.5. Given that traditional, highly sophisticated air quality monitors are expensive and are not universally available, these models cannot adequately s…
Data Science Institute（数据科学研究所）；Imperial College London（帝国理工学院）
This paper presents an approach to improve computational fluid dynamics simulations forecasts of air pollution using deep learning. Our method, which integrates Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and adversarial training, is a way to improve the forecast skill of reduced order models obtained from the original model solution. Once the reduced-order model (ROM) is obtained via PCA, a Long Short-Term Memory network (LSTM) is adversarially trained on the ROM to make forecasts. Once trained, the adversarially trained LSTM outperforms a LSTM trained in a classical way. The study area is in London,…
Air pollution is a worldwide issue that affects the lives of many people in urban areas. It is considered that the air pollution may lead to heart and lung diseases. A careful and timely forecast of the air quality could help to reduce the exposure risk for affected people. In this paper, we use a data-driven approach to predict air quality based on historical data. We compare three popular methods for time series prediction: Exponential Smoothing (ES), Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) and Long short-term memory (LSTM). Considering prediction accuracy and time complexity, our …
Synergistic Neural Forecasting of Air Pollution with Stochastic Sampling
Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence（莫德尔·本·扎耶德人工智能大学）；Weizmann Institute of Science（魏兹曼科学研究所）；Linköping University（林雪平大学）；Australian National University（澳大利亚国立大学）
Imperial College London（帝国理工学院）；Southwest Jiaotong University（西南交通大学）；Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Imperial College London, UK（帝国理工学院土木与环境工程系）；School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, China（西南交通大学交通运输与物流学院）
Mobile and ubiquitous sensing of urban air quality has received increased attention as an economically and operationally viable means to survey atmospheric environment with high spatial-temporal resolution. This paper proposes a machine learning based mobile air pollution sensing framework, called Deep-MAPS, and demonstrates its scientific and financial values in the following aspects. (1) Based on a network of fixed and mobile air quality sensors, we perform spatial inference of PM2.5 concentrations in Beijing (3,025 km2, 19 Jun-16 Jul 2018) for a spatial-temporal resolution of 1km-by-1km and…
University of Sheffield（谢菲尔德大学）；Makerere University（麦克雷雷大学）
Data collection in economically constrained countries often necessitates using approximate and biased measurements due to the low-cost of the sensors used. This leads to potentially invalid predictions and poor policies or decision making. This is especially an issue if methods from resource-rich regions are applied without handling these additional constraints. In this paper we show, through the use of an air pollution network example, how using probabilistic machine learning can mitigate some of the technical constraints. Specifically we experiment with modelling the calibration for individu…
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health（哈佛陈曾熙公共卫生学院）；IBM Research（IBM研究院）
Across numerous applications, forecasting relies on numerical solvers for partial differential equations (PDEs). Although the use of deep-learning techniques has been proposed, actual applications have been restricted by the fact the training data are obtained using traditional PDE solvers. Thereby, the uses of deep-learning techniques were limited to domains, where the PDE solver was applicable. We demonstrate a deep-learning framework for air-pollution monitoring and forecasting that provides the ability to train across different model domains, as well as a reduction in the run-time by two o…
Vienna University of Business Economics（维也纳商业经济大学）；CSH Vienna（维也纳CSH研究院）；Graz University of Technology（格拉茨工业大学）；ETH Zurich（苏黎世联邦理工学院）
The COVID-19 related lockdown measures offer a unique opportunity to understand how changes in economic activity and traffic affect ambient air quality and how much pollution reduction potential can the society offer through digitalization and mobilitylimiting policies. In this work, we estimate pollution reduction over the lockdown period by using the measurements from ground air pollution monitoring stations, training a long-term prediction model and comparing its predictions to measured values over the lockdown month.We show that our models achieve state-of-the-art performance on the data f…
Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health（哈佛大学陈曾熙公共卫生学院）；The University of Texas at Austin（德克萨斯大学奥斯汀分校）
Estimating the causal effects of a spatially-varying intervention on a spatially-varying outcome may be subject to non-local confounding (NLC), a phenomenon that can bias estimates when the treatments and outcomes of a given unit are dictated in part by the covariates of other nearby units. In particular, NLC is a challenge for evaluating the effects of environmental policies and climate events on health-related outcomes such as air pollution exposure. This paper first formalizes NLC using the potential outcomes framework, providing a comparison with the related phenomenon of causal interferen…
Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health（哈佛大学陈曾熙公共卫生学院）
Fine particulate matter (PM$_{2.5}$) is one of the criteria air pollutants regulated by the Environmental Protection Agency in the United States. There is strong evidence that ambient exposure to (PM$_{2.5}$) increases risk of mortality and hospitalization. Large scale epidemiological studies on the health effects of PM$_{2.5}$ provide the necessary evidence base for lowering the safety standards and inform regulatory policy. However, ambient monitors of PM$_{2.5}$ (as well as monitors for other pollutants) are sparsely located across the U.S., and therefore studies based only on the levels of…
Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar（印度理工学院甘地纳加尔分校）
Air pollution kills around 7 million people annually, and approximately 2.4 billion people are exposed to hazardous air pollution. Accurate, fine-grained air quality (AQ) monitoring is essential to control and reduce pollution. However, AQ station deployment is sparse, and thus air quality inference for unmonitored locations is crucial. Conventional interpolation methods fail to learn the complex AQ phenomena. This work demonstrates that Deep Gaussian Process models (DGPs) are a promising model for the task of AQ inference. We implement Doubly Stochastic Variational Inference, a DGP algorithm,…
Tackling air pollution is an imperative problem in South Korea, especially in urban areas, over the last few years. More specially, South Korea has joined the ranks of the world's most polluted countries alongside with other Asian capitals, such as Beijing or Delhi. Much research is being conducted in environmental science to evaluate the dangerous impact of particulate matters on public health. Besides that, deterministic models of air pollutant behavior are also generated; however, this is both complex and often inaccurate. On the contrary, deep recurrent neural network reveals potent potent…
Zendrive Inc.（Zendrive公司）；Stony Brook University（石溪大学）；University of Toronto（多伦多大学）
Air pollution poses a serious threat to sustainable environmental conditions in the 21st century. Its importance in determining the health and living standards in urban settings is only expected to increase with time. Various factors ranging from artificial emissions to natural phenomena are known to be primary causal agents or influencers behind rising air pollution levels. However, the lack of large scale data involving the major artificial and natural factors has hindered the research on the causes and relations governing the variability of the different air pollutants. Through this work, w…
A review on development of eco-friendly filters in Nepal for use in cigarettes and masks and Air Pollution Analysis with Machine Learning and SHAP Interpretability
Institute of Engineering, Pulchowk Campus, Tribhuvan University（特里布万大学普尔乔克校区工程学院）；Nepal Engineering College, Pokhara University（博卡拉大学尼泊尔工程学院）
Comprehensive Monitoring of Air Pollution Hotspots Using Sparse Sensor Networks
New York University（纽约大学）；Google Research（谷歌研究）；Toyota InfoTechnology Center（丰田信息技术中心）；Kaiterra Inc（Kaiterra公司）；University of Warwick（沃里克大学）；Yale University（耶鲁大学）
Low-cost particulate matter sensors are transforming air quality monitoring because they have lower costs and greater mobility as compared to reference monitors. Calibration of these low-cost sensors requires training data from co-deployed reference monitors. Machine Learning based calibration gives better performance than conventional techniques, but requires a large amount of training data from the sensor, to be calibrated, co-deployed with a reference monitor. In this work, we propose novel transfer learning methods for quick calibration of sensors with minimal co-deployment with reference …
This paper presents a data-driven approach to mitigate the effects of air pollution from industrial plants on nearby cities by linking operational decisions with weather conditions. Our method combines predictive and prescriptive machine learning models to forecast short-term wind speed and direction and recommend operational decisions to reduce or pause the industrial plant's production. We exhibit several trade-offs between reducing environmental impact and maintaining production activities. The predictive component of our framework employs various machine learning models, such as gradient-b…
Centre for Speckled Computing（散斑计算中心）；University of Edinburgh（爱丁堡大学）
According to the Lancet report on the global burden of disease published in October 2020, air pollution is among the five highest risk factors for global health, reducing life expectancy on average by 20 months. This paper describes a data-driven method for establishing causal relationships within and between two multivariate time series data streams derived from wearable sensors: personal exposure to airborne particulate matter of aerodynamic sizes less than 2.5um (PM2.5) gathered from the Airspeck monitor worn on the person and continuous respiratory rate (breaths per minute) measured by the…
GraphSVR: A Graph Convolutional Support Vector Regression Framework for Robust Spatiotemporal Air Pollution Forecasting
Department of Mathematics, School of Advanced Sciences, Vellore Institute of Technology（维杰雷理工学院数学系）；SAFIR, Sorbonne University（索邦大学SAFIR中心）；Statistics Centre Abu Dhabi（阿布扎希统计中心）
