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arXiv 2202.05591cs.LG
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利用机器学习和神经网络预测发电厂燃料消耗

Predicting Fuel Consumption in Power Generation Plants using Machine Learning and Neural Networks

African Institute for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS), Limbe, Cameroon(非洲数学科学研究所(AIMS),林贝,喀麦隆)

Gabin Maxime Nguegnang, Marcellin Atemkeng, Theophilus Ansah-Narh, Rockefeller Rockefeller, Gabin Maxime Nguegnang, Marco Andrea Garuti

摘要:

来自国家电网的发电的不稳定性已经导致工业(例如,电信)依靠工厂发电机来运行其业务。然而,这些二次发电机带来了额外的挑战,例如系统内外的燃料泄漏以及燃料液位计的扰动。因此,电信运营商一直需要燃料来供应柴油发电机。随着社会经济因素导致的燃油价格上涨,燃油过度消耗和燃油盗窃成为一个问题,影响了网络公司的顺利运行。在这项工作中,我们比较了四种机器学习算法(即梯度提升,随机森林,神经网络和Lasso)来预测发电厂消耗的燃料量。在评估这些模型的预测精度后,梯度提升模型的表现优于其他三个回归模型,最高的纳什效率值为99.1%。

英文摘要:

The instability of power generation from national grids has led industries (e.g., telecommunication) to rely on plant generators to run their businesses. However, these secondary generators create additional challenges such as fuel leakages in and out of the system and perturbations in the fuel level gauges. Consequently, telecommunication operators have been involved in a constant need for fuel to supply diesel generators. With the increase in fuel prices due to socio-economic factors, excessive fuel consumption and fuel pilferage become a problem, and this affects the smooth run of the network companies. In this work, we compared four machine learning algorithms (i.e. Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Neural Network, and Lasso) to predict the amount of fuel consumed by a power generation plant. After evaluating the predictive accuracy of these models, the Gradient Boosting model out-perform the other three regressor models with the highest Nash efficiency value of 99.1%.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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