探索最近合并乘车公司后慕尼黑市的交通方式偏好
Exploring Preferences for Transportation Modes in the City of Munich after the Recent Incorporation of Ride-Hailing Companies
摘要：
在过去几年里，网约车公司的发展在许多方面影响了城市交通。尽管人们普遍声称这种服务的好处，但对这一专题的研究却很有限。本文评估了慕尼黑交通用户支付RH服务的意愿。认识到直接从RH公司获得数据的困难，设计了一个声明的偏好调查。该数据集包括来自500名通勤者的回复。收集了使用RH服务及其类似模式（汽车和公交）的8 km出行场景中的社会人口学属性、当前出行行为和交通模式偏好。一个多项logit模型被用来估计的时间和成本系数使用RH服务的收入群体，然后被用来估计的时间价值（VOT）RH。模型结果表明，生殖健康服务在18至39岁的人，大家庭和汽车较少的家庭中很受欢迎。高收入群体也愿意为使用生殖健康服务支付更多费用。为了研究RH服务对慕尼黑市模式分割的影响，我们将RH作为一种新的模式纳入现有的嵌套logit模式选择模型，使用增量logit。出行时间、出行成本和VOT被用来衡量通勤者在选择RH和其最近的交通方式地铁时的选择。在四个不同的拥堵水平和四个价格水平，以反映在可接受的成本和时间权衡的需求，共20个方案进行了评估。
英文摘要：
The growth of ridehailing (RH) companies over the past few years has affected urban mobility in numerous ways. Despite widespread claims about the benefits of such services, limited research has been conducted on the topic. This paper assesses the willingness of Munich transportation users to pay for RH services. Realizing the difficulty of obtaining data directly from RH companies, a stated preference survey was designed. The dataset includes responses from 500 commuters. Sociodemographic attributes, current travel behavior and transportation mode preference in an 8 km trip scenario using RH service and its similar modes (auto and transit), were collected. A multinomial logit model was used to estimate the time and cost coefficients for using RH services across income groups, which was then used to estimate the value of time (VOT) for RH. The model results indicate RH services popularity among those aged 18 to 39, larger households and households with fewer autos. Higher income groups are also willing to pay more for using RH services. To examine the impact of RH services on modal split in the city of Munich, we incorporated RH as a new mode into an existing nested logit mode choice model using an incremental logit. Travel time, travel cost and VOT were used as measures for the choice commuters make when choosing between RH and its closest mode, metro. A total of 20 scenarios were evaluated at four different congestion levels and four price levels to reflect the demand in response to acceptable costs and time tradeoffs.
机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来，可能存在错误，请以论文正文为准。
