arXivDaily arXiv每日学术速递 周一至周五更新
arXiv 2201.11748q-bio.QMcs.CY
收藏

将区块链应用于疫苗推广管理,减少COVID-19病例和死亡

Reducing COVID-19 Cases and Deaths by Applying Blockchain in Vaccination Rollout Management

Jorge Medina, Roberto Rojas-Cessa, Vatcharapan Umpaichitra

摘要:

由于快速推出针对2019冠状病毒病(COVID-19)的疫苗接种对于恢复日常生活和避免病毒突变至关重要,因此建立一个宽松的疫苗接种管理系统很有吸引力。然而,一个强有力的管理系统可以支持预防措施的执行,从而减少发病率和死亡率。在这里,我们通过扩展易感-暴露-恢复(SEIR)模型,建立了一个基于区块链的疫苗分发可信可靠的管理系统。该模型包括戴口罩、社交距离、接种率和接种效率等预防措施。它还考虑了负面的社会行为,如违反社会距离和试图使用非法疫苗接种证明。通过评估该模型,我们表明,在最苛刻的情况下,拟议的系统可以减少多达250万例病例和50万例死亡。

英文摘要:

Because a fast vaccination rollout against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is critical to restore daily life and avoid virus mutations, it is tempting to have a relaxed vaccination-administration management system. However, a robust management system can support the enforcement of preventive measures, and in turn, reduce incidence and deaths. Here, we model a trustable and reliable management system based on blockchain for vaccine distribution by extending the Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Recovery (SEIR) model. The model includes prevention measures such as mask-wearing, social distance, vaccination rate, and vaccination efficiency. It also considers negative social behavior, such as violations of social distance and attempts of using illegitimate vaccination proofs. By evaluating the model, we show that the proposed system can reduce up to 2.5 million cases and half a million deaths in the most demanding scenarios.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

↑