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arXiv 2201.10348cs.CRstat.ME
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纠正网络事件中的报告延迟

Correcting for Reporting Delays in Cyber Incidents

Seema Sangari, Eric Dallal

摘要:

随着网络领域的不断发展,报告事故的延迟是网络保险行业的一个众所周知的问题。解决这个问题是获得网络事件率的真实情况并对其进行适当建模的必要条件。所提出的算法解决了这个问题,通过创建一个模型的报告延迟的分布,并使用该模型来纠正报告的事件计数,占预期的比例的事件已经发生,但尚未报告。特别是,这一修正显示,近几个月来网络事件的数量有所增加,而不是报告的数量所显示的下降。

英文摘要:

With an ever evolving cyber domain, delays in reporting incidents are a well-known problem in the cyber insurance industry. Addressing this problem is a requisite to obtaining the true picture of cyber incident rates and to model it appropriately. The proposed algorithm addresses this problem by creating a model of the distribution of reporting delays and using the model to correct reported incident counts to account for the expected proportion of incidents that have occurred but not yet been reported. In particular, this correction shows an increase in the number of cyber events in recent months rather than the decline suggested by reported counts.

机构、总结、中文摘要均由AI分析而来,可能存在错误,请以论文正文为准。

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