The varying coefficient model has received broad attention from researchers as it is a powerful dimension reduction tool for non-parametric modeling. Most existing varying coefficient models fitted with polynomial spline assume equidistant knots and take the number of knots as the hyperparameter. However, imposing equidistant knots appears to be too rigid, and determining the optimal number of knots systematically is also a challenge. In this article, we deal with this challenge by utilizing polynomial splines with adaptively selected and predictor-specific knots to fit the coefficients in varying coefficient models. An efficient dynamic programming algorithm is proposed to find the optimal solution. Numerical results show that the new method can achieve significantly smaller mean squared errors for coefficients compared with the equidistant spline fitting method.
There has been increasing interest in statistical analysis of data lying in manifolds. This paper generalizes a smoothing spline fitting method to Riemannian manifold data based on the technique of unrolling and unwrapping originally proposed in Jupp and Kent (1987) for spherical data. In particular we develop such a fitting procedure for shapes of configurations in general $m$-dimensional Euclidean space, extending our previous work for two dimensional shapes. We show that parallel transport along a geodesic on Kendall shape space is linked to the solution of a homogeneous first-order differe…
The estimation of functions with varying degrees of smoothness is a challenging problem in the nonparametric function estimation. In this paper, we propose the LABS (Lévy Adaptive B-Spline regression) model, an extension of the LARK models, for the estimation of functions with varying degrees of smoothness. LABS model is a LARK with B-spline bases as generating kernels. The B-spline basis consists of piecewise k degree polynomials with k-1 continuous derivatives and can express systematically functions with varying degrees of smoothness. By changing the orders of the B-spline basis, LABS can s…
The University of Texas Rio Grande Valley(德克萨斯大学里奥格兰德河谷分校);The University of Rochester(罗切斯特大学)
In fitting data with a spline, finding the optimal placement of knots can significantly improve the quality of the fit. However, the challenging high-dimensional and non-convex optimization problem associated with completely free knot placement has been a major roadblock in using this approach. We present a method that uses particle swarm optimization (PSO) combined with model selection to address this challenge. The problem of overfitting due to knot clustering that accompanies free knot placement is mitigated in this method by explicit regularization, resulting in a significantly improved pe…
Spatially varying distributed lag non-linear models using Laplacian P-splines
Interuniversity Institute for Biostatistics and statistical Bioinformatics (I-BioStat), Data Science Institute (DSI), Hasselt University, Hasselt, Belgium(哈瑟尔特大学);L-BioStat, Department of Public Health and Primary Care, KU Leuven, Leuven, Belgium(荷语鲁汶大学);Environment & Health Modelling (EHM) Lab, Department of Public Health Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom(伦敦卫生与热带医学院)
In this paper we estimate the dynamic parameters of a time-varying coefficient model through radial kernel functions in the context of a longitudinal study. Our proposal is based on a linear combination of weighted kernel functions involving a bandwidth, centered around a given set of time points. In addition, we study different alternatives of estimation and inference including a Frequentist approach using weighted least squares along with bootstrap methods, and a Bayesian approach through both Markov chain Monte Carlo and variational methods. We compare the estimation strategies mention abov…
We provide a flexible framework for selecting among a class of additive partial linear models that allows both linear and nonlinear additive components. In practice, it is challenging to determine which additive components should be excluded from the model while simultaneously determining whether nonzero additive components should be represented as linear or non-linear components in the final model. In this paper, we propose a Bayesian model selection method that is facilitated by a carefully specified class of models, including the choice of a prior distribution and the nonparametric model us…
This paper considers the quantile regression approach for partially linear spatial autoregressive models with possibly varying coefficients. B-spline is employed for the approximation of varying coefficients. The instrumental variable quantile regression approach is employed for parameter estimation. The rank score tests are developed for hypotheses on the coefficients, including the hypotheses on the non-varying coefficients and the constancy of the varying coefficients. The asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators and test statistics are both established. Monte Carlo simulations are …
A novel approach for estimating functions in the multivariate setting based on an adaptive knot selection for B-splines with an application to a chemical system used in geoscience
提出利用 generalized lasso 自适应选择 B 样条节点并结合 EBIC 的多元非参数回归估计方法,实验表明其稳健且优于现有方法,并以 glober R 包发布。
In this paper, we propose a varying coefficient panel data model with unobservable multiple interactive fixed effects that are correlated with the regressors. We approximate each coefficient function by B-spline, and propose a robust nonlinear iteration scheme based on the least squares method to estimate the coefficient functions of interest. We also establish the asymptotic theory of the resulting estimators under certain regularity assumptions, including the consistency, the convergence rate and the asymptotic distribution. Furthermore, we develop a least squares dummy variable method to st…
Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their parameters often have a clear interpretation. These advantages come at the cost of requiring a relatively simple model specification. We propose a flexible model for SDEs with time-varying dynamics where the parameters of the process are non-parametric functions of covariates, similar to generalized additive models. Combining the SDEs and non-parametric approaches …
In various applications with large spatial regions, the relationship between the response variable and the covariates is expected to exhibit complex spatial patterns. We propose a spatially clustered varying coefficient model, where the regression coefficients are allowed to vary smoothly within each cluster but change abruptly across the boundaries of adjacent clusters, and we develop a unified approach for simultaneous coefficient estimation and cluster identification. The varying coefficients are approximated by penalized splines, and the clusters are identified through a fused concave pena…
Linear discriminant analysis (LDA) is an important classification tool in statistics and machine learning. This paper investigates the varying coefficient LDA model for dynamic data, with Bayes' discriminant direction being a function of some exposure variable to address the heterogeneity. We propose a new least-square estimation method based on the B-spline approximation. The data-driven discriminant procedure is more computationally efficient than the dynamic linear programming rule \citep{jiang2020dynamic}. We also establish the convergence rates for the corresponding estimation error bound…
Varying coefficient model is often used in statistical modeling since it is more flexible than the parametric model. However, model detection and variable selection of varying coefficient model are poorly understood in mode regression. Existing methods in the literature for these problems often based on mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a novel method to solve these problems for mode varying coefficient model based on the B-spline approximation and SCAD penalty. Moreover, we present a new algorithm to estimate the parameters of interest, and discuss the paramet…