KTH Royal Institute of Technology(KTH皇家理工学院);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学);Silo AI(Silo人工智能公司);Microsoft Research(微软研究院)
Ruibo Tu, Kun Zhang, Hedvig Kjellström, Cheng Zhang
To determine causal relationships between two variables, approaches based on Functional Causal Models (FCMs) have been proposed by properly restricting model classes; however, the performance is sensitive to the model assumptions, which makes it difficult to use. In this paper, we provide a novel dynamical-system view of FCMs and propose a new framework for identifying causal direction in the bivariate case. We first show the connection between FCMs and optimal transport, and then study optimal transport under the constraints of FCMs. Furthermore, by exploiting the dynamical interpretation of optimal transport under the FCM constraints, we determine the corresponding underlying dynamical process of the static cause-effect pair data. It provides a new dimension for describing static causal discovery tasks while enjoying more freedom for modeling the quantitative causal influences. In particular, we show that Additive Noise Models (ANMs) correspond to volume-preserving pressureless flows. Consequently, based on their velocity field divergence, we introduce a criterion for determining causal direction. With this criterion, we propose a novel optimal transport-based algorithm for ANMs which is robust to the choice of models and extend it to post-nonlinear models. Our method demonstrated state-of-the-art results on both synthetic and causal discovery benchmark datasets.
CUTS+: High-dimensional Causal Discovery from Irregular Time-series
Tsinghua University(清华大学);Institute for Brain and Cognitive Science, Tsinghua University (THUIBCS)(清华大学脑与认知科学研究院(THUIBCS));Chinese PLA General Hospital(中国人民解放军总医院)
A Versatile Causal Discovery Framework to Allow Causally-Related Hidden Variables
University of California San Diego(加州大学圣地亚哥分校);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学);KDDI Research(KDDI研究所)
Benchmarking Bayesian Causal Discovery Methods for Downstream Treatment Effect Estimation
Technical University of Munich(慕尼黑工业大学);Mila - Quebec AI Institute(米拉 - 魁北克人工智能研究所);ServiceNow Research(ServiceNow研究院);Université de Montréal(蒙特利尔大学);Helmholtz AI(亥姆霍兹人工智能研究所)
CUTS: Neural Causal Discovery from Irregular Time-Series Data
Tsinghua University(清华大学);Institute for Brain and Cognitive Science, Tsinghua University (THUIBCS)(清华大学脑与认知科学研究所);Chinese PLA General Hospital(中国人民解放军总医院)
Feedzai(Feedzai公司);Instituto Superior Técnico, Universidade de Lisboa(里斯本大学高等技术学院);DCC, Faculdade de Ciêncidas da Universidade do Porto(波尔图大学理学院数据与计算机科学系);Instituto de Telecomunicações(电信研究所)
Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学);University of California, San Diego(加利福尼亚大学圣迭戈分校);Guangdong University of Technology(广东工业大学);University of Melbourne(墨尔本大学);Shiga University(滋贺大学);RIKEN(理化学研究所)
The Robustness of Differentiable Causal Discovery in Misspecified Scenarios
School of Mathematics, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China(数学学院,东南大学,南京210096,中国);School of Cyber Science and Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing 210096, China(网络科学与工程学院,东南大学,南京210096,中国)
Exploring Multi-Modal Data with Tool-Augmented LLM Agents for Precise Causal Discovery
University of Houston(德克萨斯大学休斯顿分校);NEC Laboratories America(NEC美国实验室);Florida International University(佛罗里达国际大学);North Carolina State University(北卡罗来纳州立大学)
Can Large Language Models Help Experimental Design for Causal Discovery?
The Hong Kong University of Science and Technology (Guangzhou)(香港科技大学(广州));MBZUAI(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学);Hong Kong Baptist University(香港浸会大学);The University of Sydney(悉尼大学);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学)
$\texttt{causalAssembly}$: Generating Realistic Production Data for Benchmarking Causal Discovery
Technical University of Munich(慕尼黑工业大学);Robert Bosch GmbH(罗伯特·博世有限公司);University of Applied Sciences Kempten(肯普滕应用科学大学);Munich Center for Machine Learning (MCML)(慕尼黑机器学习中心)
Regularized Multi-LLMs Collaboration for Enhanced Score-based Causal Discovery
University of New South Wales(新南威尔士大学);School of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeastern University(东北大学计算机科学与工程学院);School of Computing, Macquarie University(麦考瑞大学计算学院);CSIRO’s Data61(澳大利亚联邦科学与工业研究组织数据61)
Differentiable Causal Discovery For Latent Hierarchical Causal Models
University of California San Diego(加利福尼亚大学圣迭戈分校);Carnegie Mellon University(卡内基梅隆大学);Mohamed bin Zayed University of Artificial Intelligence(穆罕默德·本·扎耶德人工智能大学)
LNML-based Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders: Theory and Experiments
Graduate School of Information Science and Technology, The University of Tokyo(东京大学信息科学与技术研究生院);Graduate School of Arts and Sciences, The University of Tokyo(东京大学文理研究生院)